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Technology Stocks : HAL2 Buys and Sells -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TREND1 who wrote (26)6/29/2000 12:01:00 AM
From: D GALL  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 105
 
Larry, TJK,

I was taught that TA is a method of predicting the future price of a security (i.e. stock) based on its past price performance (i.e. the chart). The basic assumption is that the price past performance- the chart, reflect the sum total of ALL the variables affecting the security's price in the market.
In contrast, FA does not study the price of the security, but the economic value of the commodity itself (i.e. the company). It assumes that the supply and demand for the commodity will determine its economic value, and its security's price will be a direct function of that value.

As Zeev allay reminds us "If the TA and FA do not agree- trust the TA". I think he is right because I see the FA as only one component of the many variables that cause the stock price movement. (To enter a trade we really should look for the TA and FA to agree that there is a trend, and let a trailing stop exit the trade)

As to the method of analyzing the chart- Statistics is as good as any other TA method as long as you keep your sample size big enough (not for a buy and hold approach).
BTW Larry, I'm observing HALL1 and was wondering what are it's past results, in win/loss % and max drawdown.

DG