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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (55412)6/28/2000 4:08:00 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116753
 
< We read this market differently>

Obviously. You are quite consistent and a very devoted faithful committed bear. I question my principles and values. Moreover, I'm more pragmatic and will go long for short and intermediate periods of time. It has paid off for me to do so usually. I'm not a complainer or a whiner.

Care to call me a contrarian indicator again, as you did last October? I won't be long for long here, though. I'm still very bearish on the equity market long term.



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (55412)6/28/2000 4:51:00 PM
From: Alex  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116753
 
Gold Up 2.4% as Fed Keeps Rates Flat


Jun. 28-MAR--

[B] NY Precious Metals Review: Gold up 2.4% as Fed keeps rates flat
By Melanie Lovatt, BridgeNews
New York--June 28--COMEX August gold futures ended up $6.80 or 2.4% at
$294.30 per ounce on Wednesday after jumping to a two-week high of
$294.80. Gold held onto its gains after the U.S. Federal Reserve said that
it would keep interest rates unchanged. It had been driven higher ahead of
the Fed's 1415 ET announcement on growing expectations the Fed would not
hike rates.
* * *
After the announcement, gold had little time to react until the 1430
ET COMEX close, but there was little evidence of "buy the rumor, sell the
fact" as it stayed strong in the last few minutes of trading.
Gold had climbed throughout the day, with its impetus coming from
expectations that the Fed would keep rates unchanged, although news that
the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) had received a $500 million gold
denominated loan provided another boost for the market.
SARB governor Tito Mboweni said, "We think it is appropriate for South
Africa to use this structure and send a positive message to the bullion
markets and that the SARB is prepared to hold and add to its 4 million
ounces of gold reserves while other central banks decide to sell their own
gold reserves." (story .17074).
James Steel, analyst at Refco, said that this development is positive
for gold, but noted the primary focus was the Fed. No rate hike would
"tend to weaken the dollar and would mean that the Fed is not so worried
about inf lation rising," he noted. Alternatively, if the Fed had put up
rates, it would have indicated it was vigilant against inflation and as an
inflation-hedge asset, gold could have suffered. Higher interest rates
also increase the costs of holding physical commodities like gold.
In the gold runup stops were hit at the $288 and $292 level, traders
said.
They noted that funds and trade houses were buyers, with some of the
locals caught short and thrown into panic mode. "Short positions are still
fairly heavy, especially amongst commercials," Steel said.
Market observers noted that heavy selling from large New York trade
houses was notably absent, with some of these players now moving in as
buyers, thus giving the market a lift. Steel also pointed out that there
has been strong Asian gold buying, which is supportive.
Whether gold can hold Wednesday's strong gains remains to be seen,
although many are skeptical. Steel said that the dollar appeared to be
holding up well.
"Unless the dollar weakens or at least doesn't go up any further, it'll be
hard for gold to maintain the rally," Steel said. Furthermore, he pointed
out that over the last two years, gold has not managed to stay above $300
per ounce for more than a few weeks and at the most; it has managed only 4
weeks above this level. He suggested a cautious approach to gold as it
moves towards $300, since it may see a return of producer hedging.
Gold's rally was supportive across the precious metals complex,
although silver's reaction was disappointing as it edged only marginally
higher. July platinum jumped to a fresh 11-year high of $574.90 per ounce,
continuing to attract speculators amid the tightening physical market
conditions.
In the news, Russia's Almazyuvelirexport (Almaz), which has been the
country's sole platinum group metals (PGM) export agency, is expected to
be unable to continue exporting PGM under long-term contracts to Japan
after it sells its powerful U.S. subsidiary to Russia's largest PGM
producer, Norilsk Nickel, analysts in Japan said on Wednesday.
They said Almaz is unlikely to maintain sufficient long-term PGM
supplies to Japan, as Norilsk is developing its own PGM export networks.
(Story .2016)
Meanwhile, Swiss customs officials Wednesday confirmed the import of
6,971 kilos of Russian platinum in May, marking the first sizeable
delivery of the metal to Swiss markets in nearly a year.
In Russia, the State Depository for Precious Metals (Gokhran) has been
granted a very small export quota for platinum group metals (PGMs) in 2000
and is not planning to export any metals this year, Chairman of Gokhran
and Deputy Finance Minister Valery Rudakov said Wednesday. He said that
the market would not feel the absence of such insignificant amounts.
Rudakov also said domestic palladium consumption was likely to rise soon
due to the liberalization of the PGMs market (story .17090).

SETTLEMENT PRICES
--Aug gold (GCQ0) at $294.3, up $6.8; RANGE: $287.4-294.8
--Jly silver (SIU0) at $5.038, up 2.9c; RANGE: $5.005-5.04
--Jly platinum (PLN0) at $572.8, up $16.3; RANGE: $556-574.9
--Sep palladium (PAU0) at $660.25, up $6.10; RANGE: $650-665

SPOT PRECIOUS METALS PRICES:

New York 1520 ET London 1205 BST Tokyo 0630 GMT
Gold(KRCGL) 291.40-292.00 286.30-286.90 286.20-286.70
Silver(KRCSL) 4.98-5.01 4.93-4.95 4.93-4.96
Platinum(KRCPL) 575.00-585.00 565.00-575.00 566.00-574.00
Palladium(KRCPA) 642.00-652.00 647.00-657.00 645.00-655.00 End

Copyright 2000 Bridge Information Systems Inc. All rights reserved.

The Bridge ID for this story is 02333

(c) Copyright 2000 FWN

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