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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elwood P. Dowd who wrote (83090)6/29/2000 8:11:00 PM
From: Jimbo Cobb  Respond to of 97611
 
Yeah, it'll even cover about 20% of what you lost today in CPQ.....

jajajajajajajaja

Jimbo.



To: Elwood P. Dowd who wrote (83090)6/29/2000 8:13:00 PM
From: Jimbo Cobb  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
No big deal Actually, it is a very big deal, IMO...proves you are breaking free from the control of CPQ....

jajajajajajajaja

Jimbo.



To: Elwood P. Dowd who wrote (83090)6/29/2000 8:14:00 PM
From: Jimbo Cobb  Respond to of 97611
 
Seriously...nice trading and keep up the good work !!!!!!!!!
Come on over to the Playhouse thread if you want to talk trading....

U might learn a thing or 2....

jajajajajajajaja

Jimbo.



To: Elwood P. Dowd who wrote (83090)6/29/2000 8:21:00 PM
From: hlpinout  Respond to of 97611
 
Analysts play tug-of-war over Compaq's future
By Joe Wilcox
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
June 29, 2000, 5:00 p.m. PT

As the second quarter comes to an end, analysts are still at odds over the financial
and strategic health of personal computer maker Compaq Computer.

Today, Salomon Smith Barney analyst Richard Gardner downgraded Compaq to "neutral" from
"buy" and cut the company's near-term share price target to $25 from $45. Gardner cited
perceived weakness in PC sales for the downgrade.

The news hit Compaq's stock today. Shares fell $2.81, or close to
10 percent, to $25.69.

Yet Merrill Lynch analyst Steve Fortuna decided to maintain his
stance on the PC maker's shares, keeping guidance at near- and
long-term "accumulate." Fortuna held that Compaq is "quite
comfortable" with its current inventory levels and does not plan to
change its pricing or sales strategy.

Analysts across the board typically use the end of a quarter to
assess the general performance of companies during the period.
They often use that data to determine the future financial health of
many players.

Compaq, in many ways, has been a hot topic in the analyst
community. Amid declining PC prices, Compaq recently was hit
with the resignation of chief executive Eckhard Pfeiffer and other
strategic challenges. This series of events left many analysts
pessimistic about whether Compaq would be able to recover.

The company's commercial PC division has been losing money for a year, but the losses have
been shrinking quarter-to-quarter. Compaq is making money in its consumer business but is
gradually losing market share.

Some analysts, however, see the tides turning as new CEO Michael Capellas continues his
strategy to cut costs.

Fortuna said Compaq has successfully worked out some of the kinks in its distribution model,
and corporate sales look solid.

"We believe (sales) will spike up in the second half of the year related to Windows 2000," he
wrote in a research note, but conceded there could be short-term problems with consumer
sales. Fortuna added, however, that slower sales won't "have significant material impact on
Compaq's top line."

Compaq is facing stiff competition from Hewlett-Packard in retail markets, a situation "which
has definitely hurt sales," PC Data analyst Stephen Baker said.

According to research by PC Data, HP is ahead of Compaq in overall retail market share
(including catalog and online sales), 36 percent to 31.1 percent, respectively.

Figures for in-store sales, such as Best Buy and CompUSA, show HP ahead of Compaq, 42.4
percent vs. 28.9 percent.

Fortuna sees Compaq reporting $10 billion in revenue for the second quarter. He also sees 5
percent growth year-over-year, which represents "an improvement on the first quarter. We are
looking for double-digit growth for the second half of the year."

In March, market research company Gartner also rallied behind Compaq, arguing the company
had successfully fixed most of the problems with its commercial PC business.

The commercial division lost $19 million in the first quarter, an improvement over previous
quarterly losses.