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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gdichaz who wrote (27241)7/3/2000 5:48:04 PM
From: Eric L  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Cha2,

Re: Smart Card Semiconducter Manufacturers - IFX - STM - ATML

<< Since possible smart card investments seem hard to find, are Atmel (ATML) or Infineon possible ways to participate - at least in a small way - per your last para? >>

I like both Atmel (ATML) & Infineon (IFX) much. In my business life I have dealings with both, and consider them to be top notch innovative players. STMicroelectronics (STM) could be added to the list. They are #2 in smart card silicon after Infineon.

I am not invested in any of the above. I play semiconducters with INTC and PMCS. Each is 5% of my combined portfolios and I really like PMCS. Rumor has it someone is going to do a PMCS "Project Hunt" presentation. I hope so. These guys EXECUTE.

Note:

ATML up 409% for 18 months and 31% YTD
STM up 402% for 18 months and 29% YTD
IFX up a few % since the IPO

I evaluated these guys as a way to participate in smart cards and rejected the idea. Smart Card (IC Card chips) are a small % of their overall business (10%). Silicon allocation is in effect. IC card chips are the low end of the semiconducter business in both ASP & margin.

I was going to participate in the IFX IPO. It was heavily oversubscribed. Huge grey market. Sort of like Palm.

Semiconductors are cyclical & seasonal and bear very close watch. I think Uncle Frank would agree. We are in cycle. Sort of out of season, but the season is coming.

Gemplus probably a better smart card play when they IPO.

A small "smart card" basket could be ATML, IFX, STM, Gemplus, Oberthur. (thinking out loud).

BTW: You should read this EE Times article called "Europe Gains as Consumer Electronics Eeader":

eetimes.com

(Discusses STM, NOK, ERICY, Philips, Symbian, Bluetooth, et al. Gets into the new arenas of wireless devices and THE HANDHELD GAME).

- Eric -