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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (45)7/4/2000 6:41:18 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10065
 
** Computer Services ** Unix, EDS, Perot, CSC and now CA. Anybody see a pattern here? Like the style of CA -- waiting until the wee hours the day before a holiday.

Monday July 3, 11:54 pm Eastern Time

Company Press Release

SOURCE: Computer Associates International, Inc.

Computer Associates Announces Preliminary First
Quarter Results

ISLANDIA, N.Y., July 3 /PRNewswire/ -- Computer Associates International, Inc. (NYSE: CA - news) today reported that
it expects financial results for the first quarter ending June 30, 2000 to be less than current Wall Street estimates. CA expects
total contract value to be in the range of $1.25 billion to $1.3 billion. This compares to the $1.22 billion recorded in the first
quarter of last year.

The quarter was affected by weak European sales and softness in its mainframe business. CA cited the fact that several large
contracts that were expected to close in the final days of the quarter have been delayed.

Commenting on today's announcement, Sanjay Kumar, CA's president and chief operating officer stated, ``Revenue wasn't as
strong in the quarter as we had hoped. We intend to work aggressively to address the performance issues in our European
business. With the recently completed Sterling Software acquisition and a refocused sales and service organization, we feel very
well positioned to capitalize on further opportunities in the eBusiness marketplace.''

CA is scheduling a conference call with securities analysts for Wednesday morning July 5, 2000 at 8:30am EDT to discuss this
announcement and is scheduled to report final results the evening of July 20, 2000.

Computer Associates International, Inc., the world's leading business software company, delivers the end-to-end infrastructure
to enable eBusiness through innovative technology, services and education. For more information, visit ca.com .

Statements in this release concerning the Company's future prospects are ``forward-looking statements'' under the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. There can be no assurances that future results will be achieved, and actual results
could differ materially from forecasts and estimates. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include:
the significant percentage of CA's quarterly sales consummated in the last few days of the quarter making financial predictions
especially difficult and raising a substantial risk of variance in actual results; changes in industry accounting guidance; the risks of
potential litigation arising from the year 2000 date change for computer programs; the emergence of new competitive initiatives
resulting from rapid technological advances or changes in pricing in the market; the risks associated with new product
introductions as well as the uncertainty of customer acceptance of these new or enhanced products from either CA or its
competition; risks associated with the entry into new markets such as professional services; the risks associated with integrating
newly acquired businesses and technologies; increasing dependency on large dollar licensing transactions; delays in product
delivery; reliance on mainframe capacity growth; the ability to recruit and retain qualified personnel; business conditions in the
client/server and mainframe software and hardware markets; uncertainty and volatility associated with Internet and eBusiness
related activities; use of software patent rights to attempt to limit competition; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates
and interest rates; the volatility of the international marketplace; and other risks described in filings with the Securities and
Exchange Commission.



To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (45)7/5/2000 9:03:39 AM
From: Wally Mastroly  Respond to of 10065
 
An'update' on the oil saga - stayed tuned for further developments/EDIT...

Oil prices continue to head lower
By Paul Solman
Published: July 5 2000 11:38GMT | Last Updated: July 5 2000 12:14GMT

Oil prices fell further in London on Wednesday, as the market continued to
react to this week's announcement by Saudi Arabia that it was prepared to
put an extra 500,000 barrels a day on to the world market.

Benchmark August Brent crude was $28.57 a barrel at 1100 GMT, down
101 cents from Tuesday's close.

The price has lost $2.53 since the Saudis made their surprise announcement after the
market shut on Monday night, but analysts and traders said there was still no sign of a
sudden sell-off.

"People have had the opportunity to get out of the market but they haven't taken it," one
trader said. "I think they are still crunching demand numbers to see what an extra 500,000
barrels could mean."

Market watchers are also focusing on the New York Mercantile Exchange which opens at
1230 GMT after a two-day hiatus for the US Independence Day celebrations.

Nymex light crude futures fell in Asian-based trading on the exchange's electronic,
out-of-hours system, though again the loss of around $1.50 was relatively subdued.

Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Algeria are likely to join Saudi Arabia in the
output increase, according to news agencies, which quoted Opec sources on Wednesday.

Unlike many of Opec's members who are producing oil at full capacity, the three countries
are believed to be able to raise oil output.


Iranian officials said on Wednesday that they believed the Opec output increase of 708,000
barrels a day, agreed in Vienna last month, would be enough to bring prices down from the
$30 level of recent weeks.

Iran's latest statement follows comments on Tuesday attacking Saudi Arabia for failing to
consult Opec members before making its announcement.

-

Comment:

Agree with some analysts that the affect of the Saudi pledge to increase supply will probably be felt more in the fall - on home heating oil prices.

-

This summary/excerpt from an USATODAY.com article provides a similar comment - with some rationale:

Gas may cost less by August

A surprise announcement by Saudi Arabia that it may soon boost oil
production by 500,000 barrels a day could knock 10 cents or more off the
pump price of gasoline in the United States by sometime in August, analysts
say. But some oil market experts warn drivers not to get too excited yet. With
U.S. refineries running flat out to make gasoline already, they may not be able
to use the extra Saudi oil to make any more, which means prices might stay
right where they are. Top-grade crude oil has been trading at more than $32 a
barrel recently, unbudged by OPEC's June 21 decision to boost production by
708,000 barrels a day.