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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (221)7/4/2000 6:54:57 PM
From: Dennis Roth  Respond to of 197217
 
Siemens: Looking To Strike it Rich in China
telecomdirect.pwcglobal.com
Posted on June 29, 2000

Siemens announced investments of
over $1.5 billion dollars in Asia to
develop its mobile business solutions,
of which $1 billion will go to China.
The company seeks to expand its
existing GSM mobile networks and
jointly develop the 3G TD-SCDMA
standard. Siemens claims that
increasing sales volume in the Asian
market to be a top priority, as China
currently accounts for over 30 percent
of its worldwide mobile infrastructure
sales.

Experience has shown that there
really isn't any gold in China. So why
would a company like Siemens
choose to invest such a substantial
amount of money into a market that
has proven so frustrating and fruitless
to virtually all technology vendors
attempting the assault? There have
been many companies that have
ventured into Chinese territory only to
come back empty handed, as the
realities of regulatory issues and the
lack of financial wherewithal tore
their dreams apart. While it appears
that Siemens may be trying to
cultivate the TD-SCDMA standard in
a large population base, it is unlikely
that this technology will stand up to
other technologies like W-CDMA,
also being developed in China. Even
at about a dollar per person in the
market, an investment of this
magnitude hardly seems warranted
given the history of dealings with
China, leading us to wonder whether
Siemens knows that just because it
looks like gold, doesn't mean it is.