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To: Philip W. Dunton, Jr who wrote (2917)7/5/2000 4:55:56 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 3661
 
See next post...SI is still acting weird.



To: Philip W. Dunton, Jr who wrote (2917)7/5/2000 4:56:36 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3661
 
Ted. The chart deterioration started many weeks before the Salomon report of today. Many of the uptrends have broken badly, especially in the secondaries like COHU, ASYT, EGLS, just to name three. AMAT's chart is beginning to look sick. If MTSN should violate support at 27-28, this breaks the neckline and puts in place a very bearish head and shoulders formation. I am not saying all of this to scare investors in this group, only to alert them that things bear watching. We could turn around and have one hellava rally in the group. However, much hope has been placed in the semicon west conference next week. I might point out the same hope was placed in the H & Q tech conference back in May and it turns out that it was better to sell tech stocks before that conference that during or after it. Just remember, bear markets ignore good news and focus on the negative, which is quite the opposite of what most of us are used to over the past couple of years. Good luck. Ph

Phil

Many tech stocks got trashed and seriously damaged in the March/April correction but frankly I don't consider MTSN to be one of the them.

I know this will bore Ian and John...but lets talk in to terms of the chart's TA. I consider the runup from 11 to 50 1/2 as forming the right side of a cup....I see the action since March as a consolidation of the runup /handle forming period. During that time, as I am sure you know, the handle should drift down from the price high (50 1/2)of the runup, losing about half of the point gain.......roughly that would take MTSN down to the 29/30 area (its at 32 and 33 where I reentered the stock). That all has happened....what has happened that is unexpected is MTSN's announcement of an acquisition and SSB's downgrades this AM. Both made the stock volatile on those days.

Meanwhile I think MTSN was recovering from the acquisition when the announcement was made this morning. And I think MTSN and some others will recover from today's action as well. Is this a beginning of downtrend...who knows but like Ian said in an earlier post...that just doesn't look or feel right but who knows..

And now to get away from TA, I am reassured by its recent acquisition that MTSN is on the right track and is moving up the food chain. And I like owning a stock that is making that kind of a move.

IMO we need to be cautious but not lose our reason like so many did today.

ted