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Technology Stocks : EMC How high can it go? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TraderEd who wrote (10590)7/7/2000 7:38:45 AM
From: John Carragher  Respond to of 17183
 
recent post on fools thread.
Cold Storage at IBM
and Compaq

By working together on open standards and
interoperability, IBM and Compaq are hoping to make a
dent in EMC's data storage market share lead.
However, EMC continues to be laps ahead of the two
firms in the race for Rule Maker status in the storage
market.

By Brian Graney (TMF Panic)
July 6, 2000

In an effort to stay competitive in the wildfire enterprise data
storage race, computing products vendors IBM (NYSE: IBM)
and Compaq (NYSE: CPQ) announced they will work together
to ensure interoperability of each other's storage hardware
and software products, and promote open standards for the
emerging area of storage area networks (SANs). Under the
deal, Compaq will resell IBM's Shark enterprise storage servers
and its Tivoli systems management software, while Big Blue
will resell Compaq's StorageWorks systems and software.

The two companies spun the announcement as a
"game-changing play" in the advancement toward
interoperable storage products and open standards for the
storage industry. Yeah, sure. The cute PR phraseology aside,
today's announcement really doesn't change much of anything
in the world of enterprise storage, as far as investors are
concerned. If anything, it is IBM's enterprise data storage
strategy that is changing, which is not exactly novel
considering this tends to happen every few months or so.

In fact, the announcement is more of a milestone of sorts for
high-end enterprise storage powerhouse EMC (NYSE: EMC)
than for either IBM or Compaq. Today's collaboration has a
more defensive than offensive flavor to it and appears to
provide additional proof that EMC is running away with the
high-end storage lead.

To make up ground against market share leader EMC, IBM and
Compaq are planning investments possibly exceeding $1 billion
in the data storage market, which is set to expand to around
$50 billion in just a few years, according to most estimates.
However, simply throwing money at a fast-growing market
doesn't guarantee super-industry returns, just as IBM has
found out that naming your flagship product after a scary
marine predator doesn't ensure market share gains.

A major part of the EMC value proposition has always been
that its products are heterogeneous, working on a variety of
server platforms and operating systems. Further, the company
has invested $1 billion over the past six years on its own
interoperability testing program. EMC is also a major backer of
the Fibre Alliance, which aims to ensure interoperability among
different SAN hardware and software vendors. Despite their
bluster, Compaq and IBM are not exactly first movers in this
area.

At the end of the day, execution and customer satisfaction
will play the greatest role in determining excess returns in the
enterprise storage market. In these areas, EMC has proven
that it is the uncontested leader. This is largely because of its
single-minded focus on storage versus the scattershot
approach embraced by the likes of IBM, Compaq, and even
Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW) , which continue to be
viewed as server vendors first and storage vendors second.
When looking for tomorrow's Rule Makers in the burgeoning
enterprise data storage area, Foolish investors should keep
that market-focused strategy in mind.

Your Turn: Do you think EMC is the emerging Rule Maker in
enterprise storage? Post your opinions on the Rule Maker
Companies discussion board.

Related Links:
EMC discussion board
EMC website
Motley Fool Research: EMC



To: TraderEd who wrote (10590)7/7/2000 9:24:09 AM
From: Bill Fischofer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17183
 
I agree

However, while the also-rans in storage are huddling together to try to match what EMC has on current offer, EMC is in the meantime working with the likes of NT, LU, and CSCO to define the future of storage as a service within the optical network of the near future. Not only does EMC get the emerging paradigm, they will largely be responsible for defining it from a storage perspective. This is what happens when you're 2-3 years ahead of your competition as EMC has maintained it is.

EMC will not partner with SUNW because SUNW has no interest in the new paradigm, however the fact that CPQ has thrown in with IBM makes it more likely that DELL will partner with EMC. DELL more than anyone else seems to be positioning itself to lead the commodity diskless server market of the near future.



To: TraderEd who wrote (10590)7/7/2000 9:58:50 AM
From: JDN  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17183
 
Dear TraderEd: I hope that your are correct as EMC is one of my largest holdings, but CPQ isnt storage tech. I believe CPQ now ships a lot of storage on their own linked with IBM and standardizing on both companies systems seems threatening to me. The good news is the news is out on SHARK and its not even a minnow. JDN