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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: re3 who wrote (82200)7/9/2000 11:21:59 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Another interesting dichotomy is how badly the semiconductor manufacturing equipment stocks (AMAT, ASMI, ASML, COHU, DPMI, HELX, KLAC, KLIC, NVLS, PLAB, et al) are lagging the semiconductor stocks (INTC, BRCM, SANM, FLEX, JBL, LSI, TXN, PMCS, GSPN, etc.). Cohu looks very cheap at 7 times forward EPS but it acts as if it will miss earnings again this qtr.



To: re3 who wrote (82200)7/10/2000 12:35:02 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 132070
 
ike, too much money makes dumb money. while i'm surprised by qcom getting rousted so badly, i'm not surprised by the no business plan whacks to stock prices.

the fed will make sure too much money is available through the election and the fund managers have to put the money "somewhere." right now it is in chippies.



To: re3 who wrote (82200)7/10/2000 11:32:46 AM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Ike, I think you will find the answer in this week's Barron's. They have a crow eating to follow up to their story about how Intel sucked eggs. Despite the fact that everything they said about Intel's business, and both the company and the cheerleaders on tv and at brokerage firms laughed at, turned out to be true, the stock has been up bigtime since then. I think they have joined the "fundamentals don't matter for chips" gang. <g> Getting bloodied can do that to you. Having 100s of letters every week telling you how "I bought Intel and made money and you are stupid not to buy it just because the business is over and they have been faking the accounting for years to no avail" wears on an editor's soul, too.

Another fact is that Barron's is not strong in Asia and that is where the rumblings in the chip industry really start.

As for myself, I have certainly not done great with my chip puts of late and even got down to a very thin representation. Now, part of that is due to the fact that I have been able to print money with my bear credit spreads with options at such silly levels, and the levels of premiums for longer term options, where I prefer to play if given my druthers, weigh on buyers and work to the advantage of sellers or credit spreaders right now.

But it gets old to see and Intel or a MU fake eps ridiculously time and time again and have nobody but an ignored minority pay attention. I am still fighting that theater of the war, but it is kind of like the battle for Kentucky during the Revolutionary War: my big guns are aiming elsewhere and finding soft, easier targets.