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To: Don Green who wrote (47031)7/11/2000 3:57:31 PM
From: Don Green  Respond to of 93625
 
DRAM scorecard:

Race tightens, but Samsung hangs on to lead

By Robert Henkel, Semiconductor Business News

Jul 10, 2000 (2:06 PM)

URL: semibiznews.com

FRAMINGHAM, Mass. -- What is arguably the hottest market battle going in the semiconductor business is in DRAMs. The race has certainly tightened, according to a new report from International Data Corp. that came up with the market share leaders in seven of the largest chip markets. Samsung and Hyundai are slugging it out for the lead in dynamic RAMs, IDC says. Samsung had what appeared to be a firm grip on the lead with more than 20% of worldwide revenues, the market researcher says. Hyundai was in No. 2 position but it was a good distance behind with 12.5% of the global market.

But last year, Hyundai's DRAMs sales shot up by more than 145%, thanks to acquisitions. As a result, its market share jumped to jumped to almost 21%, IDC says. Samsung hung on, however, and fought off the run by Hyundai. It kept the lead by increasing its DRAM sales by almost 60% and increased its market share to 21.7%.

Micron is also emerging as a serious threat in DRAMs, according to IDC. Its revenues grew 160%, driving the Idaho company's market share from 9.2% in 1998 to 16.1% in 1999. Again, acquisitions provided most of that growth.

IDC expects the competition in the DRAM market to heat up even more this year. "Despite the rapid growth that Samsung experienced last year, they'll have a tougher time this year as Hyundai and Micron not only continue to grow at a faster pace, but also continue to [integrate] their acquisitions into one unit," points out Soo Kyoum Kim, IDC's research manager for semiconductor programs.

Texas Instruments Inc. is hanging on in the hard disk drive (HDD) market, according to IDC. Its market share dropped from 32% in 1998 to 25% in 1999 due to a 17% decline in revenues.STMicroelectronics revenues here surged 142%, raising its market share from 10% to more than 18%, according to IDC.

Giving STMicro's sales here a big push was its growing leadership in the desktop HDD motor control segment, IDC notes. It made a big entrance in the desktop HDD read-channel business and added three customers for its desktop controller chip set, the market researcher notes.

In the PC graphics chip segment, ATI gained a firmer grasp on first place with $650.6 million in revenues, or 31% of the worldwide market. Several of its competitors here experienced declining shipments last year, and IDC expects this market to continue to consolidate this year.

In the first half of 1999, microprocessors was Intel Corp. in a runaway, but it turned into a two-way battle by the end of the year. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. coming up to take on Intel. During the first half, Intel's aggressive positioning of Celeron resulted in the exiting of IDT, National, and Rise Technology from the low-end PC market, while AMD slowly bled in margins, IDC says.

In the second half, AMD had rebounded strongly with its new flagship microprocessor Athlon,while Intel slowly began to face supply problems and play catch up in performance against AMD's processors.

The leading position in the flash card market belongs to SanDisk Corp. The vendor had a strong 90% growth in 1999, raising its revenues to $196 million. But its market share dropped from 35% in 1998 to 27% in 1999 as several other vendors were able to grow even faster than SanDisk. The overall market grew at a 145% rate.

Toshiba Corp. and Samsung Electronics will continue to be SanDisk's main challenge in the near term, according to IDC, but the market leader with its broad product portfolio is well positioned to take advantage of emerging applications for flash cards over the long run.

Conexant Systems Inc. is the leading vendor in the overall modem semiconductor market, according to IDC. Last year, the chip maker (spun off from Rockwell International Corp.) accounted for 30% of worldwide revenues of these chips. However, IDC believes that second-place vendor Lucent Microelectronics Inc., with 22% of revenues, has a broader product portfolio. Conexant is very strong on analog modems, but is a relative newcomer to the broadband segment.

In the LAN chip segment, Intel put more distance between itself and No. 2 vendor Lucent. Intel increased its market share from 21.8% in 1998 to 34.5% in 1999, IDC estimates. Lucent, meanwhile, slipped from a 20.5% share to 18.9% last year. Intel's performance was helped significantly by the acquisition of Level One.

But the vendor to watch in this segment, IDC says, is Broadcom Corp. This vendor increased its revenues more than 180% in 1999, while the overall market was up only 20%.



To: Don Green who wrote (47031)7/15/2000 4:37:56 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 93625
 
Hi Don Green; Re: "In most cases buying the fastest hard drive is the best way to improve performance, not the fastest CPU or ram.."

While this is possibly true, it really depends on what you need the computer to do. My suspicion is that workstations are dominated by (1) memory size, and (2) CPU performance. At least that is what I have found with the applications I use all the time.

There is no doubt that the machine responds faster to the hand and eye with a fast hard drive, but that isn't why I am buying a high end machine. I really don't care whether "Notebook" loads in 1.3 or 2.0 seconds. This kind of speed is what the average user notices in a typically underused machine, and you are right on that the disk speed is the thing to max out for such a user.

But with a workstation, I don't care about how long programs take to load from disk (more or less). What I care about is whether synthesis, place and route takes 40 minutes or 20 minutes. Chip design code doesn't use the hard disk at all, for the vast majority of those 40 minutes, unless there is so little memory that the application (or its data) doesn't all fit in the memory at once. In that case, the program will thrash the life out of a hard disk and slow down incredibly, or even crash.

You get an enormous performance improvement by adding enough memory to eliminate disk thrashing. Something like 20 to 1 speed improvement. From then, increasing memory size doesn't do help any further at all, but increases the amount of time required to boot...

Once you have enough memory, then you get almost a 1 to 1 improvement by increasing CPU speed.

Because of the incredible importance of having enough DRAM to eliminate disk thrashing, I always put as much as possible on my workstation. I've got 768MB on my latest, but I only seem to need around 384MB so far. But with newer stuff coming out later this year, I will probably get into the 512 to 768MB area. With these memory sizes, RDRAM is not a viable choice, given the other areas where the same money could be put. PC800 may provide a 1% performance improvement over PC133 CL3, but PC133 CL2 is faster than PC800, costs under half, and is available with cheaper motherboards/machines as well.

These 1% performance differences aren't worth paying big bucks for when I can take the same money and add 200MHz to the processor, which will improve performance by 10% or more.

These basic facts are why memory has to be cheap to sell to (rational) customers. The best workstation is one with lots of cheap memory, and the money saved is then put into a faster processor.

-- Carl