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To: IceShark who wrote (3403)7/12/2000 5:09:36 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
possibly some negative surprise is lurking. might be PPI/CPI (as unlikely as that sounds with those BLS statistics rapists), or an upcoming negative earnings surprise. we have a big cycle turn date scheduled for July 16, which coincides with PPI...and the commercials are still net short a record number of spoos, with the small traders accounting for the biggest net long position.

it would be a surprise to see the small traders on the right side of this trade.



To: IceShark who wrote (3403)7/12/2000 5:13:25 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 436258
 
one more thing: we will most likely have a new record low in the Rydex ratios tonight. last time this happened, the NAZ took its now mythical 40% dump.

imho the next leg down will be far worse than the first...