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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Lee who wrote (47196)7/13/2000 5:34:17 PM
From: sam  Respond to of 93625
 
Jack's newest:

Semicon West poll: DDR test demand ahead of
Rambus for now

By Jack Robertson
Semiconductor Business News
(07/13/00, 09:30:29 AM EDT)

SAN JOSE -- The early precinct polls from tester vendors are now in on the battle
between double data rate (DDR) SDRAMs and Direct Rambus memories. The
clear winner so far is DDR, according to test suppliers showing their wears at the
Semicon West Trade show here this week.

A check by SBN of high-speed memory test equipment suppliers at the trade
conference shows early sales ramping up for DDR systems. Glenn Farris,
Teradyne Inc.'s high-speed memory marketing manager, said 80% of soaring
orders for the firm's Aeries high-performance memory tester are being used for
DDR. Officials with Advantest America Inc. agreed that DDR is spurring new tester
sales.

At the same time only Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. -- the predominate Direct
RDRAM producer for PCs -- is reported to be ordering testers for the new packet
data memory format. "Other memory companies are in a wait-and-see mode
before placing additional orders for Rambus testers," summed up Teradyne's
Farris.

Agreeing is Tom Pritchett, Agilent Technologies Inc.'s group marketing manager
for automatic test equipment. "High-speed Rambus systems haven't taken off as
we had hoped," he said.

Agilent, the spin-off company from Hewlett-Packard Co., is developing a variant of
its high speed line for DDR synchronous DRAMs. Pritchett said he believes
high-speed DDR memories cannot be adequately tested simply by ratcheting up
conventional SDRAM models, but will require very high speed testers to cope with
noise, interference and timing issues.

Test gear makers still expect demand to take off for memories based on the
format from Rambus Inc.--especially when Intel Corp. later this year introduces its
next-generation Willamette processor, which will require Direct RDRAMs.

Graham Siddall, president and chief executive officer of Credence Systems Corp.,
is banking on Rambus chip cost reductions to spur orders for new testers.
Credence has so much confidence in the Rambus tester potential that it has
signed a letter of intent to make a 20% equity investment in a small RDRAM test
firm, called New Millennium Solutions Inc., in Irving, Calif.

Tester firms are counting on their Rambus projections to materialize, after making
large investments themselves in developing the complex high-speed testers and
boost throughput to 32 to 64 simultaneous test sites. In the meantime, vendors
here said they are finding other uses for the high-speed testers developed for
Rambus, while they wait on that market to develop.

Gary Fleeman, memory marketing manager for Advantest America, said the new
generation of very fast SRAMs are creating a market for the 1-GHz tester, while
Rambus customers are holding back.

Credence's Siddall said his firm will apply Rambus interface testing technology
from its pending investment in New Millennium Solutions to enhancing its line of
ASIC systems. "The ASIC tests needed for Rambus are applicable in our high
performance logic testers," said the CEO of Credence.

semibiznews.com



To: Steve Lee who wrote (47196)7/13/2000 5:36:11 PM
From: Ian Anderson  Respond to of 93625
 
I think the reduced short term volatility is a bearish indicator. When short term volatility decreases, and especially if there is a sudden drop in 5 minute volumes, that is often an indicator that there will be price drop of 5-10 percent within the next couple of hours of trading, assuming no news.

Curiously when monitoring fetal heartrates, a reduction in volatility is often a sign that the baby is very sick. A healthy baby's graph looks remarkably similar to RMBS on a higher volume day!