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To: Archie Meeties who wrote (3684)7/13/2000 5:38:05 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
well, like you say, there's always the choice between hard and paper assets. and when the market gets infatuated with oil stocks, it's one of the signs of a possible impending shift.

i think several new era beliefs are about to be challenged...just as the conviction that $100 oil and $3,000 gold were inevitable was challenged in the early '80s.

to think that unfettered credit and fiat money expansion can be engaged in without the chickens coming home to roost, flies in the face of Austrian economic theory...and so far, every credit crack-up boom in history has collapsed exactly as Austrian theory predicted it would.

the cracks in the dam will appear somewhere. oil is a warning sign...so is the yield curve inversion, credit spreads, and those plunging LME inventories you showed us yesterday. hubris, pride and complacency rule the day at the same time...you have the typical bull market peak confidence that science and technology will solve all problems and that the laws of supply and demand have been magically repealed.

i smell another wake-up call in the wings - a harsh lesson for margined-to-their-eyeballs clowns.



To: Archie Meeties who wrote (3684)7/13/2000 5:39:55 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
in the meantime, Egyptian gold stock investors are losing it over dinner:

CAIRO - An irate Egyptian threw his wife from a third-floor
window, fracturing her spine, after she refused to give him a bigger
helping of chicken than his sons, a newspaper reported on Thursday.

Al-Akhbar said the man, an oil sector official, argued that he should
get a larger portion than his two sons because he provided the chicken
in the first place. His wife also stated he has been very irate lately
do to the low price of gold and gold mining shares in which he holds
large amounts of each.

Neighbors took the woman to hospital. Police arrested the husband.