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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jerry Olson who wrote (107593)7/14/2000 7:05:04 AM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 120523
 
ENTG...."

With the introduction of larger (300 mm) wafers and smaller components, the
semiconductor industry is becoming even more efficient. However, the
progress is also making the process even more fragile. It takes about 6
weeks to produce 25 wafers and any damage to those wafers may represent
costs upwards of $1 million.

Enter Entegris which makes products for the storage, transport, processing,
and protection of wafers throughout the entire manufacturing process. The
firm also makes products which store, mix, and distributes the extremely
hazardous chemicals used in fabrication.

The firm was formed in ’99 with the merger of Fluorware and Empac which
trace their histories back almost 35 years. So while the company is new in
its present form, it is also a seasoned operation. The firm also has a 26.8%
stake in Metron NV, a 11/19/99 IPO, which distributes semiconductor
equipment and accounts for about 14% of Entegris’ revenues. It also has joint
ventures in South Korea and Japan.

Like most firms in the semiconductor industry, it is highly cyclic. Only
recently has the industry begun to rebound from a trough. And like most of
the industry, it has a considerable international exposure (47% of 6mF’00
revenues) with a heavy Taiwan exposure.

Performance has been biased by the industry cycle and the integration of the
merged companies. However, with the industry rebound both revenues and
earnings are increasing sharply. On a pro-forma basis, between FY’98 and
FY’99 (8/31) revenues declined by 9.4% reaching $242 million with a 38.8%
gross margin and a 2.4% net margin. Between 9mFY’99 and 9mFY’00 (5/31)
revenues rebounded by 43.8% reaching $247.7 million with a 46.5% gross
margin and a 14.3% net margin. However, this rebound was boosted by a
$5.4 million pre-tax gain from the Metron IPO. In the latest quarter (ending
5/31) revenues were advancing at a 50.2% rate reaching $91 million with a
48.5% gross margin and a 13.5% net margin.

These improvements have been directly related to increased plant utilization
sparked by the industry rebound and by operating expense savings following
integration of the merged firms. Using the 3QFY’00 (5/31) as a basis, the
pro-forma, fully diluted 12 month EPS is estimated in the $0.73 range. At the
preliminary price range of the offering this suggests a P/E in the 18-21 range.
This is very low for an IPO.

This sector is highly competitive and includes both foreign and larger more
diversified firms. Pure play comparable firms are limited and may not reflect
actual valuation possibilities. For those firms identified, valuations have been
modest. Competitors Asyst Technologies and Peak International both
recently traded in the lower half of their 52 week ranges. Pre-offering demand
is reported to be waning and has dropped from very heavy (Street Scoop: 4
stars) to moderate (Street Scoop: 2 stars).

This firm is positioned as a key “nuts & bolts” supplier of essential products
for semiconductor makers. These products have recognized tangible value to
customers and the firm enjoys an established reputation. It is also poised to
benefit from the sharply rebounding semiconductor industry and associated
market valuations. However, the firm is cyclic so the length of the rebound is
limited. It is also being increasingly challenged by competitors in Japan.
Given the overall industry valuation surge, the firm’s profitability, and the
relatively low pro-forma P/E ratios, a warm initial reception is expected (e.g.,
30+%) followed by aftermarket stability. However, a stronger than expected
reception may be followed by near term erosion. "



To: Jerry Olson who wrote (107593)7/14/2000 7:41:03 AM
From: Connor26  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 120523
 
OJ - P&F on BEAS - up 4 days in a row now, was on a high pole before - not sure what adjusts that high pole, can it be adjusted upward? or does it have to come down to move up? - its still in its higher high, lower low mode - my trick of selling early and buying end of day would have worked for day 4 but i missed it with meeting (could have sold at 62 for 4 points and bought back at 60) - thanks C26