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Technology Stocks : Globalstar Memorial Day Massacre -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (356)7/15/2000 6:49:26 PM
From: Ruffian  Respond to of 543
 
Gilder on QCOM - posted today at Gildertech.com

poster: GG
date: 7/15/00 1:24:28 PM

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Let me bring my limited market wisdom informally to bear on the Qualcomm issue.
This is clearly a low point for the company. The media are focusing on a series of
setbacks: In China where CDMA has become a politcal token, in Korea where NTT
is trying to buy share for WCDMA, in the US where RF Microwave has announced a
WCDMA peripheral chipset (without the critical CDMA modem), in the North
American market with Voicestream's GSM technology perhaps being financed and
extended by DeutcheTelecom. Add the apparent possibility that the national PCS
spectrum footprint assembled by the now bankrupt NextWave will slip away to AWE
or a GSM carrier and Qualcomm's position seems precarious.
If you want to reshape your portfolio with a lower risk reward profile, you might want
to lighten up on Qualcomm even at the cost of selling into bad news. Normally,
however, bad news for a fundamentally strong company creates a selling trap and a
buying opportunity.
CDMA is the only available technology that uses all the spectrum band all the time and
thus can accommodate the bursty data of internet links and offer bandwidth on
demand. It is inherently the lowest power technology. It is the only technology that can
use incidental pauses and multipath to enhance the signal, and enable elastic cells that
adapt to changing traffic patterns (expanding cells along highways at rush hour and
devoting suburban cells to data after sundown, for example).
Because of this fundamental superiority, Ericsson, the world's leading proponent of
GSM at the time, capitulated to Qualcomm and actually purchased its infrastructure
division in order to the enter the CDMA market. Because of this fundamental
superiority, the GSM group in Europe resolved on CDMA and only CDMA for third
generation wireless in the face of passionate political opposition.
In evaluating all the mostly political setbacks, keep in mind that Qualcomm already,
alone in the world, has tested chipsets and systems that can supply megabit data and
double voice capacity for the next era. In the end, wireless is a scarce bandwidth arena
and an undershoot technology. With combinations of HDR data and 1x voice,
Qualcomm is already two years ahead of WCDMA which does not promise remotely
the bandwidth of HDR for several years. I believe that the carriers who adopt this
technology are going to gain market share and the nearly 70 (million) CDMA
customers today are going to experience superior service and Internet access.
Surprises are coming in wireless local loop, in Latin America, and in satellite.
I can assure you that I am not selling any of my famous Qualcomm shares.
--GG

Gildertech.com © 2000 Gilder Technology Group. All rights reserved.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (356)7/15/2000 7:30:43 PM
From: Snowshoe  Respond to of 543
 
LOL, Maurice, perhaps this is the real reason for GSTRF's sudden recovery...

Fox Network Admits Blame for VCR Clock Woes
dailynews.yahoo.com

Officials at Fox Broadcasting Corp. acknowledged Friday that it had been sending out an incorrectly encoded ``time stamp'' for at least a year which had gummed up the internal clocks built into many video cassette recorders. The network said it had now stopped the signal.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (356)7/16/2000 7:54:02 PM
From: ccryder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 543
 
<<short and long simultaneously>>
Yes! But only if he/she were horizontal. Standing he/she would be short and tall.