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To: Dealer who wrote (25591)7/17/2000 1:56:16 AM
From: Stcgg  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
WHY ELON IS A $2 STOCK..

Maybe the Gorilla competition and MSFT standardization of TC/IP? Maybe because anyone can copy Lonworks and Echelon doesn't get a dime in licensing fees? Actually, it's all this and more.. Competition will eat this newcomer alive, IMO..

COMPETITION FOR ECHELON..

These Gorillas Companies below are taking market share away from Echelon..

GE Cisco - Industrial Applications..
gecisco.com
redherring.com

Cisco/Whirlpool - Home Applications..
cisco.com
64.224.45.41

Microsoft Solution Set..
cbs.marketwatch.com q/yhoo&dist=yhoo

EmWare (as disclosed by the company in their 10Q)..
emware.com

JDS Stargate..
smarthome.com

BUT THERE'S MORE - LOTS MORE..

Echelon is the new guy on the block.. Here are just a few of the many long existing systems competing with ELON.. As you can see, their prices range from 5-10% of the cost of LonWorks and many are applicable to industrial applications..

Phast Systems
amhac.com

Smart America
smartapi.com

Home Vision
csi3.com

Intelligent Home Technologies
intelligenthometechnologies.com

Enviromatics - Bringing the Future to Life
enviromatics.com

Smart Home
smarthome.com

Active Home
tonersatellite.com

Habitech Home Automation
homesystem.com

Amiga Home Automation
iolinc.net

SO WHAT'S ELON REALLY WORTH?

To put all this in perspective, take a look at Panja (PNJA).. Panja Revenues are $80M and Echelon Revenues are $47M.. Panja operates worldwide, and does everything Echelon does and more, however on a mkt cap basis, ELON is $1.716B to PNJA $113.0M - Quite a divergence!

Panja Home Page
12.5.139.189

So, there you have it.. Is Echelon over-priced? You bet! How much? If it were comparable to Panja, Echelon would show a $66M market cap, which brings a price per share of just under $2.. That's 2 Bucks!

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