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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Scumbria who wrote (1032)	7/18/2000 1:49:29 AM
From: minnow68	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 275872

Scumbria, To make this perfectly clear: Event: AMD hitting $120 by close on friday. minnow68's (me) probabilities imply one chance in 65. Wang Wei's probabilities imply one chance in four. Mike

To: Scumbria who wrote (1032)	7/18/2000 9:43:59 AM
From: that_crazy_doug	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 275872

<< we have a 25% chance of seeing $120 by the end of the week Usually, the stock tanks after earnings. >> Trends usually don't last too long after they are recognizeable. Also consider this: Q3 after earnings price about 17 Q4 after earnings price about 35 Q1 after earnings price about 75? In each case we were still roughly double the previous quarter price, to make that same comparison, we'd have to be up to about 150 at july, which certainly doesn't seem to likely. I don't think we've got nearly as much ground to give back after blow out results as we've had in the past.