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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: VBroady who wrote (40014)7/22/2000 8:55:47 AM
From: im a survivor  Respond to of 41369
 
ARBITRAGE

Ever heard of it?

The day the tw deal went thru was the day you knew aol would be sideways for awhile.

Howewver 2 scenarios will play out. The deal passes and aol becomes the internet/media giant of the world. The deal fails. Aol remains the internet giant it always was. Either way, when the deal either passes or doesnt, AOL gets on the move again.

There will be many people very sorry they did not buy in at such low levels.

Me personally, I didnt want too much dead money while this goes thru arbitrage, so I converted my remaining long shares into 2003 leaps. The premium was awesome. When aol was trading at $52-$53, I picked up a bunch of 2003 $40 leaps for only $21 - $23. I free'd up alot of cash, yet now control more shares. Does anybody have any doubt that aol will be a steal in January 2003 at $40??? Add in the premium and the break even point is about $62 in 2.5 years.

Personally, I think this is a great way to play aol. My attitude was this...I love aol, want to remain in aol, but didnt want alot of dead money for this year. I know once aol and tw pass or dont pass, AOL moves back over $100 in the short term. I said short term. Which means, hopefully we are at $100, with 2 years left to go on the leaps, and then those babies can shoot to the moon.

Remember, ITM Leaps, will pretty much move dollar for dollar with the stock.

Anyway, lets check back in a year and see where aol is then.

Keith