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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: NucTrader who wrote (57086)7/23/2000 3:30:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 99985
 
The Hidden Language of the Charts

The authors have done so with five popular but previously
elusive chart patterns, known as head and shoulders,
broadening tops (and the related bottoms), triangles,
rectangles and double tops (and the related bottoms). After
defining them mathematically, the researchers back-tested
the patterns' predictive prowess on price data for 750 stocks
over 35 years ending in 1996.

One of their findings is that the patterns predict the future
direction of Nasdaq stocks better than they do
exchange-listed issues. Some that seemed to work well as
buy or sell signals for Nasdaq shares failed utterly when
applied to exchange-listed stocks. More research is needed to
determine why that should be so.

Of the five patterns studied, two worked particularly well
with both kinds of stocks in forecasting price weakness:
double tops and the so-called head and shoulders -- a pattern
in which a stock rallies and falls back again three successive
times, with the second of the three rallies (the head)
advancing further than either the first or the third (the
shoulders).

nytimes.com