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To: Goutam who wrote (1990)	7/23/2000 3:51:46 PM
From: ptanner	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 275872

Goutama, Re: "Start the contest after receiving guesses from at least three historically accurate participants..." It may be useful to wait until there is a substantial number of guesses before posting the whole list? This would create less pack-following entries (particularly for the stock price closing). A "ratings" for participants would be interesting and useful for screening out those with historically less successful estimates -- say a numeric value related to cumulative history of previous QTR entries with greater weight on most recent results? Last QTR, I did note that you had removed outliers from computing the averages but did not fully understand the process for this. I don't believe the estimates affected the stock price at all but may have influenced some participants inclinations. -PT