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Technology Stocks : LSI Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: FastC6 who wrote (22407)7/25/2000 11:38:10 PM
From: uu  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 25814
 
A good friend sent me the following that just went out by Smith&Barney so called genius semi conductor analysts downgrading LSi to neutral (which is basically SELL especially with their new revised target price being at $40/shr!) from their previously rating of STRONG BUY, and it kind of took me back to the summer of 1998 and B.T Alex Brown's so called genius analysts who downgraded LSI to HOLD/SELL when it had already gone down to about $11/shr (pre-split). Anyway just thought to post the following for laugh and/or for those who do think of analysts as anything but self-serving con artists who do anything to screw the little retail investor on the stree (Wall Street that is)!

Anyway here is their understanding of LSI's prospects and future based on LSI's conference call:

REDUCE RATING FROM BUY TO NEUTRAL
We are downgrading the stock from Buy to Neutral for several reasons. First, we believe Wall Street has already baked in a high degree of optimism into future earnings estimates for LSI. With the June disappointment, we believe a process of lowered earnings revisions has begun. In particular, we expect that 2001 earnings will be meaningfully less than the current Street consensus.

Second, we believe the semiconductor cycle is peaking, and along with it the P/E multiple for the cyclical stocks such as LSI Logic.

We would normally prefer to remain constructive after a problem quarter like this, but the company's substandard execution in peak cyclical times makes it particularly uninteresting as the cycle begins to roll. Our new target price of $40 is based on 25x our 2001 EPS estimate. We believe there is downside risk into the $30 neighborhood should further estimate cuts be necessary.

Things never change when it comes to Analysts. The stock is a Strong Buy at $70/shr+, and becomes a SELL at $40/shr!! Furthermore, and unless the world is coming to an end in a year I for the life of me can not possibly understand and figure out how they come up with the notion of the semi cycle reaching its peak, when practically every semi Company is reporting the cycle is at least 24-36 months away to even reach its so called peak cycle! And especially with Communication sand wireless market growing so exponentially and LSI being a lead in that sector what on earth these so called analysts are talking about?! Like I said B.T Alex Brown of summer of 1998 all over again!!

I also recall Smith&Barney put out a report on SUNW back in early 1997 downgrading the stock to HOLD (i.e. SELL) when it was trading at around $32/shr (pre 2 splits ago) claiming Sun basically had no future and especially since it was trying to compete against Microsoft. Well, we all know what happened to that so called scientific analysis!

Analysts continue to be nothing but in my view just self-serving con artists of CNBC, and the cancer type product of 1990's bull market continuing into the 21st century.

Regards,



To: FastC6 who wrote (22407)7/25/2000 11:44:44 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25814
 
From Raging Bull - It appears that LSI was downgraded...

"...LSI was indeed downgraded by Salomon Smith Barney from a 1S (Buy/Speculative) to a 3S (Neutral/Speculative). It's right on the website:

smithbarney.com ..."

and then there was this post...

"...

LSI DOWNGRADED BY SSB

LSI Logic was downgraded to Neutral by Salomon Smith Barney today at 10:15pm. They have also slashed the target price to $40 and warn: "We believe there is downside risk into the $30 neighborhood should further estimate cuts be necessary." ..."

============================================================

I thought the report looked OK and the sequential "earnings" growth was very good. Revenues will fall into place as newer higher end chip products get into production late this year. I like the focus on (1) wireless and (2) DSL chip components.

EKS



To: FastC6 who wrote (22407)7/26/2000 2:04:58 AM
From: E. Graphs  Respond to of 25814
 
Snake,

I think you are right, it will take time. There are no good excuses for missing your numbers in this market and LSI management should know that.

You can have my shares tomorrow.

BTW That double bottom target was wrong. It's more likely 100......but it's just a technical target, fwiw.

E