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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mephisto who wrote (48095)7/26/2000 6:47:08 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Earnings were in the past in a friendlier interest rate environment and booked a lot of "other income" based on selling stock. if the market stays down, they may be booking "other losses" instead <g>

There is also a lot of evidence that the semi cycle ( they are cyclical despite what new era believers want to admit) may be topping thus TXN saying they are expanding may be the poster child like MU was when they started teh Utah plant that sat idle for 3 years during the last down cycle.

Yes, SUNW and EMC and tonight FLEX had great earnings but the PEG ratios are obscene and the cinderella story is more than priced in already. If my income is going to grow 30% will you loan me 200 times what I make now?

I do feel we are over due for a technical bounce but so far, the bounces are weaker and the declines are stronger. That is not bullish.

Also despite what most posters and news pundits try to spin about rate cuts being over, the economic news has either been worse or else at best has showed a leveling off of already too hot growth. If I am doing 200 MPH in a 55 zone and then slow down to 198 MPH, am I still speeding or not? The talking heads would say I am not speeding and shouldn't get a ticket because I am going slower than I was a few minutes ago. I don't think the cop is going to buy that story. <ggg>

Good Luck,

Lee



To: Mephisto who wrote (48095)7/26/2000 7:18:25 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Mephisto I know that smoking is not a girl thing but what are you smoking???

Also, EMC and SUNW had excellent earnings......... CPQ reported strong earnings yesterday, and said that future demand for their products would be strong.

They always say that so what? 37% earnings growth deserves a P/E of 100 based on what assumption??? (EMC, SUNW) unless you are a fanatic <GGG> as many owning those stocks are.

......... on the other hand if buying those stocks for gambling and speculation purposes then there is no need for earnings reports or earning at all, and the less they are the better.

Haim



To: Mephisto who wrote (48095)7/28/2000 12:01:45 AM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Mephisto.
I agree. There comes a time that an investor must know what he/she knows. I think you have a great balance and perspective.The news is being skewed and I don't think the business environment is bad - in fact for tech stocks the globalization of the digital revolution is churning along very nicely.

It just seems to be difficult to hear it thru all the news pollution.

Bob