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To: Czechsinthemail who wrote (8031)7/27/2000 1:36:47 PM
From: DJBEINO  Respond to of 9582
 
Taiwan Stks Attractive, Mkt Rated Overweight - Goldman
TAIPEI (Dow Jones)--With Taiwan's stock market having underperformed other regional bourses over the past three months, share prices have fallen to attractive levels, Anand Aithal, regional strategist at Goldman Sachs, said Thursday.
"If you look at history, this market, certainly on a (price/earnings ratio) basis, is right at the bottom of where it has traded over the past decade," Aithal said. "The market very rarely goes below 15 times forward earnings and this is exactly where we are today."

Aithal said Goldman, which last week raised its rating on Taiwan stocks to overweight, expects the market to trade in the 8,000-10,500 point range.

He also noted that the risk premium being priced into Taiwan stocks is excessive, with it being as high as it was during the Asian financial crisis and during the missile crisis of 1996.

"The key point is, the underlying earnings and economic environment are still good," Aithal said. "And, in addition, compared to some other countries in Asia, Taiwan's political problems are very small."

Taiwan stocks would be trading at fair value at around 10,500 points, he added.

Aithal said that more mergers and acquisitions and more deregulation would be needed for the market to break through that level.

The Goldman strategist also said that he remains upbeat about Taiwan's semiconductor industry and noted that the sector isn't even half way through the current industry upturn.

"If you look at the past 30 years, the average length of the semiconductor cycle has been five years and we are two years into the current cycle," Aithal said, noting that the greater number of products using chips is keeping demand strong.



To: Czechsinthemail who wrote (8031)7/27/2000 4:02:17 PM
From: DJBEINO  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9582
 
alsc closed @19 13/16 -1 13/16 (-8.38%) 685,700

idti down 14 5/8
issi down 5 1/8
cy down 7 5 1/6



To: Czechsinthemail who wrote (8031)7/28/2000 1:10:54 AM
From: DJBEINO  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9582
 
OOps I think I know a company like this:

Motorola's Investments Not Reflected in Shares, Magazine Says
7/27/00 5:04:00 PM
Source: Bloomberg News
Schaumburg, Illinois, July 27 (Bloomberg) -- Motorola Inc. shares are undervalued because investors have overlooked the company's investments in Next Level Communications Inc., Nextel Communications Inc. and Broadcom Corp., Business Week reported in its ''Inside Wall Street'' column, citing Robert Lyon of Institutional Capital Corp. Motorola's investments in other companies add up to about $7 a share, Lyon said. Excluding those assets, Motorola should earn $1.07 a share in 2000 and $1.60 in 2001, the magazine said, citing Lyon.

Motorola shares, which have fallen 31 percent this year, fell 3 1/8 to 33 1/2 today. (BW 8/7 133) For the Web site of Business Week, see {WBWK }.
++++++++++++++++++
A Leaner Motorola

Motorola (MOT), the world's No. 2 mobile- phone maker, hasn't been top of the list this year among institutional investors. Better-than-expected second-quarter results jolted the stock from 33 to 39, but it has eased to 36--way below the 61 it hit in March. Motorola is at a 50% discount to European peers Nokia and Ericsson, based on 2001 estimates. An earnings shortfall in the first quarter and a write-off of more than $2 billion related to its stake in the Iridium satellite system soured investor interest in Motorola. Time to jettison Motorola for good?

Definitely not, argue some, who think it's on the road to recovery. Operating margins in its personal communications segment weakened in the first quarter but rose to 4% in the second quarter, mainly because of cell phones. They see Motorola upping output of handsets with new designs and features.

''A lot of investors haven't been up to speed on Motorola,'' says Robert Lyon of Institutional Capital, which manages $13 billion. ''They are ignoring the valuable assets that Motorola owns''--including a major stake in Next Level Communications, worth $6 billion; 10% of Nextel Communications, worth $5 billion; and 7% of Broadcom, $2 billion. All told, they're worth $7 a share in Motorola stock. Subtracting their value, Motorola really sells at 29. Motorola also owns cable company General Instrument.

Lyon says Motorola may unload these assets, as it is doing with Propel, a company it formed to package Motorola's holdings in companies that provide wireless services overseas. Motorola will sell 20% of Propel's stock in a $500 million initial public offering. Lyon thinks the IPO will highlight the value of Motorola's other assets. Not counting those assets, Lyon sees Motorola earning $1.07 a share in 2000 and $1.60 in 2001.



To: Czechsinthemail who wrote (8031)7/28/2000 10:55:02 AM
From: Ram Seetharaman  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 9582
 
Buy on anything below $ 20 for ALSC, for sure!

Techs. will be bloody all the way till the end of October, with a minor uptick in early October, due to earnings hope, again.

Then we will have a rally into the election around Nov. 4, and then the techs will gain well for many weeks well into January fourth week! ALSC may hit $ 35 by then!