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To: Zardoz who wrote (56770)7/28/2000 7:39:05 AM
From: d:oug  Respond to of 116927
 
Hutch,

You is also skilled in science and engineering,
so you know the validity of the following statement.

"... it's almost perpetual motion..."

Which is contained in this article you noted in you post.

Any analogies you care to make about the one thing
that prevents this type of motion on planet earth,
being that of friction, and a gata like similiar
effect to this carry trade ? Once something goes
into motion, as we know, it will continue unless
an external force is introduced. To me I still
speculate that not for Bill Murphy and GATA that
the price of gold today would be under $200 or $150,
but to use that Le Metropole Cafe saying,
eventually "it will end badly"
with gata sooner
without gata much later. doug

Carryings-on aplenty in gold carry trade
Street Talk,
By Andrew Main

The gold carry trade is flourishing again.....

This is the wheeze by which traders
and gold producers go short gold,
rolling their positions over when they expire,
and cover by borrowing gold cheaply
from central banks and private holders.....

Why is the trade booming?

Because you can now borrow gold
at 1.15 per cent per year
... and invest the sale proceeds
of the gold you never owned
at better than 6 per cent in Tbonds.

As long as the gold price holds flat
to down it's almost perpetual motion....

And that's the WGC's problem
as it means many producers
have effectively double sold,
thus almost guaranteeing
that the price won't rise.....



To: Zardoz who wrote (56770)7/28/2000 7:47:46 AM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116927
 
Let me think about that awhile & get back to you on it....



To: Zardoz who wrote (56770)8/2/2000 9:26:58 AM
From: long-gone  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116927
 
Care to explain the rally today?