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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: umbro who wrote (82609)7/30/2000 3:11:47 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Hi umbro; Do you chartists have a very long term, very detailed chart for the Dow? It has been my observation that major changes in direction are preceded by long term increases in average volatility, and I was wondering if the '29 crash was preceded by volatility increases. (You have to have a logarithmic chart for this, otherwise the secular trend screws up the size.)

I used to have a multi-year wall chart of the Dow with bars showing the min/max by quarter, but I don't know where it is, and it stopped some years ago, anyway.

-- Carl



To: umbro who wrote (82609)7/30/2000 11:08:34 AM
From: TREND1  Respond to of 132070
 
umbro
you wrote
should we expect the next bottom in mid-to-late 2001 extending out to late 2002? I'd say given the rapid rise of this last run, the mid 2001 crash is more likely.
...........
answer:
I never predict the market.
I only react to it.
If Nasdaq does kiss 52 week Low, my reaction would be to buy long term.

Larry Dudash


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