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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (8144)	8/2/2000 6:42:15 PM
From: XBrit	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

Heinz, I have seen the deflation scenario referred to in two other places this week... by Don Hays and in a Forbes article. What do you think would be the mechanism where we could move from the current accelerating inflation to deflation fears? Just a really, extremely hard landing scenario? My impression of the post-1929 US deflation and the current Japanese deflation is that the economy needs to get quite badly damaged before deflation can happen.

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (8144)	8/2/2000 6:56:27 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

<font color=red> Heinz KLIC down $4 to $18 after hours. Reason -- several previous orders are not needed as urgent <GGG> Buy CHIP stock ...... and GPS joint in sympaty GAPPING down $5.5 from NYSE close of 37 3/4 Haim

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (8144)	8/2/2000 9:48:51 PM
From: AllansAlias	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

heinz, Remember how Hays mentioned today's market being like 1990. I had never studied 1990 in detail until I heard this. It's a beautiful death-by-double-top on the S&P. He must have meant it was similar in a sentiment sort of way. The chart, other than being a great read, does not correlate well with recent charts. (Grrrr. Wish we could post graphics.) Remember we were taking about SPU. Today, the breakout to new highs is confirmed. I am seriously re-thinking about what's up. Yes, a decline is most imminent, but it will be more contained in the tech world than many foresee perhaps. Oh yea, in 1990 the SPU foretold the fall with a nice divergence, and confirmed the bottom on the way out. --Allan