To: hueyone who wrote (13539 ) 8/3/2000 9:02:28 AM From: Ausdauer Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 60323 Good Morning, Huey! There is always some degree of supposition factored into an analysis when it relates to privileged information. You have every right to disagree on points that I have made here. Only an insider could hope to know the details of licensing/royalty agreements that we have discussed. Short of that I have taken liberty in connecting dots. Some of the conclusions I have drawn may be off base. I also don't see how we can have a substantive discussion without having some disagreement on certain points, but I do take offense to comments like... "there you go again..." "cleverly designing your posts" "...mysteriously slipping in..." ____________________________________________________________________________But you and I have never agreed on or ascertained the origins of NAND flash for SST's CompactFlash card design. You are starting to sound like Eric Z who (wrongly) concluded that SSTI was using SuperFlash technology and a foundry partner to make the NAND storage flash for ADC. He was quite insistent about this point despite the fact that the SSTI CEO stated during a conference call that 16 Mbit densities were the upper target range for their product line. I suspect (but cannot prove ) that SSTI sells a controller for CF cards to an assembler (like Kingston) who packages the SSTI controller with off-the-shelf ultra-high density flash (possibly NAND) from an SSTI competitor. (Kingston could be the rough equivalent of Apacer in this instance. It not only assembles, but also private labels, markets and sells the final product at retail or as an OEM item.) If you don't accept this possibility I suggest you call or e-mail SSTI and inquire about it. I have already posted the information that I have received about SSTI CompactFlash and am not inclined to redo my research.You frequently imply that SNDK is making money from SST by virtue of SNDK's IP, but you have never been able to document this. SSTI and SNDK have a cross-licensing agreement which, in part, encompasses the CF assembly patents SanDisk owns. I am working with the assumption that this is a royalty bearing agreement for SanDisk. I don't expect SanDisk management to divulge the specifics of the agreement because of the highly confidential nature of this type of arrangement.Recently, you assumed that any NAND flash memory purchase from Toshiba for SST's ADC will benefit SNDK...Toshiba and Sandisk will each separately market and sell their share of the output of the joint venture...so your implied conclusion that SST's ADC module is some sort of "win" for SNDK is yet another stretch. I am pleased with any purchasing agreements that utilize the FlashVision fab and trust that Toshiba and SanDisk have arranged/will arrange the customer contracts so as to avoid conflict and competition between their target markets. Dr. Harari reassured SNDK investors of this very point during the annual meeting. Further, any products that promote the consumption of large quantities of ultra-high density flash (in particular NAND flash) is good for the JV."I see products like ADC and Disk-on-Chip as being the ultimate destination of excess NAND output from the FlashVision fab once all flash card demand is met." Toshiba will undoubtedly sell some product to FLSH for DOC based on their prior business relationships. You are correct in pointing out that SanDisk may not benefit from these sales directly. I don't believe that SanDisk would jeopardize their flash card business by shipping NAND flash they themselves need to meet their own demand. I also believe the "fab-light" model is tailored to SanDisk's own projected needs. Therefore it makes sense that they would only sell excess production (above and beyond internal needs) for final use in competitive products like embedded, high capacity flash disk sets (DOC, ADC,...). FLSH and SSTI are posturing that their embedded applications will erode the flash card market for SanDisk. Their dependence on off-the-shelf NAND is one defense mechanism that SanDisk may use to neutralize this offensive.I am quite certain you don't know how SST leverages its IP and whether or not SST is doing a good job of it. Yet you seem intent on conjuring up hypothetical deal structures and then posting conclusions generally referring to SST as short term focused. When we get some real facts regarding SST's numerous deals and business relationships, then we can draw some meaningful conclusions. I believe I used "spectacular" in describing SSTI's product revenue growth. I still feel that way. I haven't figured out yet how SSTI employs its IP other than as I have tried to describe it in my prior posts. I apologize in advance if some of my assumptions are incorrect. I meant to imply that SNDK and SSTI utilize their IP in different ways with different end results. If I had the ability to display graphs on Silicon Investor I would post a comparison of product revenue and royalty revenue growth for both companies side-by-side to support my assumptions on the leveraging of the respective IP's. As a long-term strategy I am more optimistic about SNDK's approach than SSTI's. The way the companies leverage their respective IP's may change in the future and it is important to re-evaluate the progress each company makes at regular intervals. ____________________________________________________________________________ I have only two question for you, Huey. 1) What is your understanding of SSTI's approach to leveraging their IP and how will it change over the next few years? 2) What is the real source of ultra-high density storage flash in SSTI's CompactFlash product? Ausdauer