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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (8634)8/3/2000 10:16:09 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
i'm starting to think nothing will get noticed.. how obvious do the problems in wireless and PCs get? yet they won't dump this trash



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (8634)8/4/2000 12:12:32 AM
From: Step1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
I can remember what that low was... 12,800 intraday or 13800 intraday. I know it moved a cumulative 1300 pts in those two days didnt it? Or have i got the whole thing confused? At any rate, another -10% or so and we will be sitting on the 14,000 line and that would be bad news ... If people in the US think that Japan dont matter anymore they are not looking at it properly in the right scope of things. it is not the market index that matters (eventhough to most it is all that matters it seems) it is the real economy, the mom and pop stores, the farms, the trinket makers, the travel agencies, the scrap dealers, the food importers, the used construction equip exporters, the (ok, lets get a bit more sophisticated here) the banks and high tech equip etc, ok you get the picture. Japan is to Asia what the US are to Mexico and the rest of Latin America. Providing jobs in Japan ( helps remittances) as well as across Asia, and a market for their products. To rely on the US solely as a buyer of last resort and think that it can go on indefinitely is naive unless you think that fiat is eternal and all powerful. At some point, it will stop working...

Right now the Nikkei i believe is not in a technical break out (down) at all, i think it is showing without a doubt that the fundamentals are reasserting themselves and it has resumed its downward move. Markets predict the path of the underlying economies 6 months ahead as is often put forth, in this case it says Japan is going back to deflation and recession. May provide help to US markets in the form of capital flight short term, mid to long term , you just cant look at it as a positive though.

JMHO

Stephan