To: Michael F. Donadio who wrote (19835 ) 8/4/2000 12:59:50 AM From: P314159d Respond to of 21342 And there is this. Europe's broadband Internet access will soon take off, says new report Semiconductor Business News (08/01/00, 04:24:30 PM EDT) AMSTERDAM, the Netherlands--Only 0.2% of European households had broadband access to the Internet in 1999, but more consumers are jumping aboard high-speed links to the Web as cost falls and infrastructure spreads across the continent, said a new report from Forrester Research B.V. The research firm here predicts that broadband Internet access will grow to 18% of European housholds, or 27 million subscribers, by 2005. Chip makers are counting heavily on the rapid growth of broadband Internet access through digital subscriber line (DSL) connections and cable modems. In Europe, Scandinavia will match the U.S. in the level of broadband access with penetration levels of 36-40% by 2005, according to the Forrester report. Germany's broadband Internet penetration level will be at 25% in five years, the report said, and the U.K. will be at 20% while France will be limited to 11%. "To date, broadband has been unavailable, unaffordable, and uninteresting to Europe's masses -- but change will come fast," said Lars Godell, analyst for Forrester. "Competition will radically expand coverage as cablecos and telcos battle it out. Forrester expects access prices to sink below 30 euros [$28] per month in 10 of 17 European countries by year-end 2002." Forrester said it expects cable modems and copper technologies like ADSL to share 80% of the total European residential broadband market by 2005, with asymmetrical DSL in the lead with 53% of all broadband connections. Note: Remember from the CC, that UK is a six month lag, thus this qtr it would be expected that the CPE sales volume to UK would emulate two qtrs back or the 16.6m qtr of last for CPE. I would peg it at 10 to 15m easy with 17m upside. This is mostly an additive figure to past qtrs. AND you must remember that the CO side will generate a similar sales figure upside for the Transport product area (MZalluded to the TSG growth). So yes this will contribute to the upside. MD, I am sorry you got so PIssED offat my analysis of the company and the market's reaction, I just call 'em as I see 'em. I expected a rather benign move down from and we got another collapse. i ws only trying to explain what a trader might think on this. Insider sales and a downgrade from hell smells real bad. Smells like the skunk splatter guts on the side of the road. But I have faith, 10 Nov 25 calls, 10 Sep 20 calls, 5 Nov 30 calls as an add. 5 Feb 20 calls,and 5 Feb 25s, plus stupid common. Dumb