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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tony Viola who wrote (3679)	8/4/2000 2:44:41 PM
From: Jim McMannis	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 275872

TOny, COme on...you know the game...the big guys have to get the suckers to sell...(generate commissions)...some they can suddenly put out a buy order after they have already bought and generate more commissions... Cyclicality in the semiconductor market has been a figment of Wall Streets imagination for years... Another joke is the idea that money is leaving tech for the DOW stocks...sure...it happens for a few days...then they are right back into tech because that what they all wanted anyway... Jim

To: Tony Viola who wrote (3679)	8/4/2000 2:48:54 PM
From: AK2004	Respond to of 275872

Tony their point was that it looked to them that the length of the cycles are increasing. In their opinion the trend may last for another year to year and a half. They did not see it in their crystal balls that the stocks would be coming back to their old highs any time soon. I do see your point about dram though. Tech cycles should be shorter but overall economic cycles vary from 4 to 20 years if I recall it correctly from school. In addition to that there is a theory that there are secondary cycles in the market with the length of over 40 years, 2 years is really a very short period to make any conclusions. just my 2c Regards -Albert ps <edited> just to be clear - they ment the trend of strong growth