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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: EJhonsa who wrote (29496)8/6/2000 10:11:53 AM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
I believe you are missing my point. Sure people will want to get the latest, and you stated the 70% annual growth will slip to 40%, that because saturation rates and the what I have stated, which is the key to my thinking, what they can do with the current infrastructure, you can only do so much to cause people the upgrade now. So the latest improvements will have limited appeal as compares to past improvements. People are walking around happy with their phones, that are not the big bricks like they used to be, they are small compact, and digital in most cases, so there is no need. They will look at their handsets and think to themselves, "Do I really need that all this bluetooth, location services stuff, etc etc I'm pretty happy with I got." To add to the statement, I'll venture to say the current growth rates could very well be priced in. So, what will be needed is the 3G, to use the states as an example, Mr. and Mrs. main stream America will the need the WOW factor of 3G to upgrade in masses, so I see a slowing of appreciation or sideways movement for the cell group till that happens.

I as stated to UF, congrats by the way you deserve you award, that the high-tech sector that has been largely driven by the PC, cell sector, and communication sector is going to end up losing another of the drivers, Cell phones, which leaves the build out of broadband wireless and wireland, which will be the next big thing. Well, that's how I see. In order to make money in the market, ones needs try to understand not what is happen now, ones needs to be looking out 6 to 12 or more months, so I have adjusted my account to align with how I see it.

Greg