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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Monty Lenard who wrote (121842)8/6/2000 8:31:28 AM
From: manfredhasler  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1573947
 
Monty, in this case if you don't mind:

... It does not HAVE TO but there is a better than 90+% chance that it will. A VERY HIGH PROBABILITY...

If my math still serves me correct a probability of 0.1 (10% in biological test systems) is not yet highly probable to come true. In fact 0.50 (50%) give two choices the same probability (in our case the filling or not filling would be equally probable). Low statistical significance for a phenomenon to be true is applied to a probability of 0.05 (5%). More statistical significance is given to 0.01 (1%).

May be your hint of a 90+%chance does not have anything to do with probability in math terms. In this case it might be useful to get some statistical insight: It might be correct to take the fact that human emotion caused that gap as it causes all gaps to assume that standard mathematical probably can be applied for significance testing for gaps to be filled or not.

Now did I misunderstand your chance of 9 out of 10 for the gap filling phenomenon to become true - or can I get some relieve by my understanding of math given the (rather low) probability of 10% to become true for the gap filling in question of AMD stock?

Thanks for your patience.
Manfred