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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Uncle Frank who wrote (29662)8/8/2000 5:08:06 PM
From: EJhonsa  Respond to of 54805
 
I'm not surprised at all. The whole carrier/ISP-related telecom equipment sector's seeing phenomenal growth. Juniper, Alteon, JDS Uniphase, SDL, PMC-Sierra, Nortel, Applied Micro, EMC, Sun, and Transwitch also saw increasing sequential revenue growth, all thanks to the continued buildout in that magnificent Al Gore creation that we know and love. I can't wait for NTAP's upcoming report (over 40% of their sales are already internet-related)

The notion that a company can put up over $5 billion in sales in a quarter and still grow over 50%, even if acquisitions weren't factored in, is staggering. My bull-market, new economy eyes allow the concept to settle in, but not easily. I think this decade could breed a whole group of companies with $250 billion+ market caps that are still growing 40% or even much more. To this extent, Microsoft and Intel fell prey to the "law of large numbers," but these companies might not. Early candidates include Cisco, EMC, Sun, Nokia, JDS Uniphase, and Nortel. Within five years, Broadcom, Juniper, Brocade, Network Appliance, and Qualcomm might join this list as well.

Shifting back to the present now (so hard to do when the future looks as bright as it does), I'd be interested in finding out what the exact revenues were for Cisco's backbone router business this quarter, just to see how this number stacks up against Juniper's. The latter won another major contract last week, this time with Metromedia, and I'm beginning to wonder if it'll be able to increase its market share to above 25% by the end of the year. Granted, Cisco should see huge growth out of this sector even if Juniper's market share increases to 40%, more than enough growth to make most of you happy, but the exact numbers could still have a significant effect on the company's bottom line.

Eric