To: Spytrdr who wrote (2106 ) 8/10/2000 8:47:35 AM From: techreports Respond to of 3070 INSP doesn't even control its horoscopes, and you expect it to control an IM standard horoscopes don't have a network effect. Do you know what a network effect is? It would be like saying Aol doesn't own stock quotes. How could they control IM.MSFT and AOL are fighting tooth and nail? No, they aren't fighting tooth and nail. Aol owns (they completely control, conquer and dominates) IM on the PC.idc.com Callie Nelsen, a senior analyst with IDC's Wireless and Mobile Communications research program. "Interoperability will be key to its success. Limiting instant messaging to just one carrier's subscribers will not likely by highly valuable to users and will not greatly increase loyalty. It would be much more valuable to the carriers to cooperate and offer universal instant messaging." Infospace isn't trying to own PC to PC IM. Infospace could goto the carriers and say, "Look use our standard, it'll help get this market going, instead of using your solution." The carriers want it where you can only IM other people who are using the same carrier. -Is MSFT and AOL fighting for IM on wireless? No. Not really. -Is this market so young that it's possible INSP *could* control it? Yes. -Will they control IM on wireless? Who knows. -Does the fact that 8 of the 9 carriers use INSP help? Yes -If INSP got 8 of those 9 carriers to use INSP standard would they most likely control IM on wirless? Probably. -Will people IM on cell phones? Who knows. Seems popular in Japan I do think that Spytrdr does have a good point. Cell phones (at lest right now) are not suitable for typing and IM doesn't make sense, however, here is what IDC said:All in all, IDC believes the wireless instant messaging market is up to the challenge all these issues present. "These problems aren't insurmountable, and IDC does expect the market for wireless instant messaging to significantly grow ," Nelsen said. P.S. This is my last post on this subject. (1) i dont even think INSP is working on it's own standard. It was just an idea (2) We could argue this over and over again and get no where.