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Technology Stocks : Siebel Systems (SEBL) - strong buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Boplicity who wrote (3727)	8/10/2000 1:46:42 AM
From: Bruce Brown	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 6974

Greg, What's your batting average? If I go to a Giants game, in a matter of seconds I know what J.T Snow's batting average for the season, against the particular pitcher in PacBell stadium, in the opposing team's stadium against that pitcher as well as against that team in general is. What's your season and career batting average against Siebel, the Nasdaq, Cisco, in this stadium, against a lefty, against a righty and how sure are you of getting an on base hit this time around? BB

To: Boplicity who wrote (3727)	8/11/2000 1:15:30 PM
From: Boplicity	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6974

Failure at the 171 area will reaffirm the right shoulder. It's not the formation or the name that matters to what is happening to SEBL, it's the psychology of the holders behind the moves. A failure at 171 will set up that area as resistance as investors will key on seeing that price not passed. As SEBL drops some of the holders that held from the most recent high, some long, some shorter term, will want to get out after seeing the profits shrink again and again not only in SEBL but in other holdings. One can see the above in the price action of SEBL by how sloppy the chart looks. What I mean by the above, is that there is indecision behind the moves that is being drawn into selling decisions which can be seen in the right shoulder. Sort like this. "Better sell now, I have seen way too many other profits shrink in way too many stocks this year." Also, important, especially with a stock like SEBL where there is really nothing wrong with the company itself, is to have the market questioning valuation market wide. Also, the market tone we are seeing now sets-up an environment that shorts like to operate in, who only add to the selling of the longs as the stock drops. Some of what we are seeing today is short covering by shorts that do not like to carry a short over the weekend. Greg

To: Boplicity who wrote (3727)	8/15/2000 3:27:19 PM
From: Boplicity	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 6974

SEBL just touched 175 which is the last area of resistance. Anyone with guts would short now. I expect to see the stock selling down from there as I type. Me, I just like to make fruitless predictions. After reading all the material that I have amassed the last few weeks, I find the company very impressive, even if they are the IBM anti Valley company. No wonder IBM and SEBL are in bed with each other. People like to be led, after reading that one article from tboy, I can see how the most aggressive types would want to stay working for Tom. G