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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jerry Olson who wrote (32418)	8/10/2000 6:09:45 PM
From: PMG	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 50167

yes, I talk about trading, not investing...and will do my living on it, if it's possible, not just good luck/bad luck another idea: I do not think PPI will be strong. What about this: - growth still intact but more is produced on stock because of huge investments in capacities - thus we will have a tendency to deflation as supply is greater than demand - if so, growth should slow down in 4-6 month or so - the economy will tend to "stagflation" - this period could be short because technical progress is very fast If this story is right, we are in a beginning bear market for the techs which could last 6-12 month. If this cycle lasts longer we'll have a recession, but I don't thing so and we are on very healthy levels. greetings PMG