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Strategies & Market Trends : Piffer OT - And Other Assorted Nuts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (48384)8/11/2000 7:45:45 AM
From: allen menglin chen  Respond to of 63513
 
MarketGate for August 11 Mark Leibovit
Date: Fri, 11 Aug 2000 00:00:57 -0700

The negatives posted the day before yesterday in the S&P and SPY along
with the Nasdaq and QQQ coming in the formed of increased downside
volume created expected downside followthrough yesterday. The news
background couple with a strong bond market and steady to higher Crude Oil
prices, a relationship which has been playing out for a while.
...
Though my Annual Forecast Model
remains bearish, between the Democratic convention, a strong bond market
and high bearish sentiment, I wouldn't be surprised by anything at this
juncture. Looking at the SPY and QQQ, the bullish interpretation is
that these indexes are now correcting their recent runup. With the most
recent volume negative, however, I would wait for confirming upside
volume before jumping on the bull wagon. Overall, it appears being on the
short-side is the safer strategy insofar as most stocks are concerned,
especially Nasdaq.
As we saw in CSCO, traders are most anxious to hit
and run with a 'damn the long-term' mentality. It's been a rough year
for those who didn't heed the warning of the Annual Forecast Model, so
I guess I don't blame them.

...
Newmont Mining (NEM) upticked a little
yesterday on expanding volume. An early sign of another rally in gold
shares?


Mark Leibovit
vrsurvey.com