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To: jackmore who wrote (78525)8/11/2000 12:45:21 PM
From: Webster  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Jack the alternative you discussed - service operators choosing 1xEV (HDR) instead of w-cdma and in addition to GSM, is right on. I think you hit the migration scenario on its head.

The Economics for service operators are going to prove to be overwhelming in favor of 1xEV (vs w-cdma). The economics of how to use old (and new) spectrum in a new information economy, the economics of how to provide an ROI for recently purchased new spectrum are going to shake the old guard to its core.

The economics of w-cdma royalties are already higher - NOK/ERICY attempt to restrict competition by developing the old royalty pool game to keep new device entrants at a disadvantage or out of the game completely.

The flexibility of 1xEV as you described will provide carriers with options to spend money on an incremental basis versus having to bet the farm on a political business proposition (w-cdma) which will not provide the carriers with flexibility to make money.

In the old days of GSM and voice only service, NOK/ERICY could dictate to service operators via standards the best business strategy. Small number of phone manufactuers guaranteed a larger piece of the pie. Service operators guaranteed to make money with little or no spectrum costs and only a single application (voice).

Very soon (if not already) service operators in EU and Asia will find that future financial returns are not as secure as the past. Although NOK and ERICY and others are their friends, they have already said to service operators that they don't plan to finance the new infrastructure build out (you are on your own). Economics (follow the money) will will win this time over politics and closed competition.

In addition to Economics, 1xEV also provides a face saving way for operators to justify this path. Its a hybrid, uses both tdma and cdma. I can already hear the valid reasons.
FWIW
Thanks
Web.



To: jackmore who wrote (78525)8/11/2000 3:18:53 PM
From: jackmore  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
3G group accepts GSM standards
By Loring Wirbel
EE Times
(08/11/00, 2:02 p.m. EST)

WASHINGTON — The members of the 3G Partnership Program, including the U.S. T1 standards committee, agreed at a meeting in Beijing this week to accept the GSM standards-evolution work from the European Telecommunications Standards Institute's technical committee on Special Mobile, or SMG.

As a result, SMG will close out its 18 years of work on the Global System for Mobile Communications standard and transfer work on GSM's evolution to the 3GPP. This work will include radio interface standards, smart-card standards and specifications for the testing of mobile stations.

The 3GPP members from the United States, China, Europe, Japan and Korea agreed to create a new technical specification group — dubbed Geran, for GSM/Edge Radio Access Network — to take on this work. Geran will focus on the GSM- and TDMA-oriented third-generation (3G) technologies being considered, including two packet-radio schemes: the General Packet Radio Service and Enhanced Data for Global Evolution (Edge) proposals.

http//www.eetimes.com/story/OEG20000811S0016