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Strategies & Market Trends : Z PORTFOLIO -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (5043)8/13/2000 8:57:46 AM
From: DanZ  Respond to of 11568
 
Closed Positions
Week Ending 8/11/00

Ron: Thanks for the update on your positions. I'll give a run down on mine later today.

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Dan

Stock Date # Cost Cost $ Date Sales Sales G/L $ G/L % Days
Bought Sold Price Price $ Held

IFMX 8/3 8000 4.375 35000 8/10 5.000 40000 5000 14% 7

This week As of last week Total
Number of trades 1 36 37
Winners 1 100% 28 78% 29 78%
Losers 0 0% 8 22% 8 22%
Average cost 35000 38531 38435
Total profit 5000 61639 66639
Average profit $ 5000 1712 1801
Average profit % 14.3% 4.4% 4.7%
Average holding period 7.0 days 26.4 days 25.9 days
___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Paul Z
DATE # Cost Cost $ Date Sales Sales G/L % Holding
Stock Bought Sold Price Price $ Period

CRN 6/15 5000 6.938 34688 8/10 8.250 41250 6563 19% 56

This week As of last week Total
Number of trades 1 4 5
Winners 1 100% 4 100% 5 100%
Losers 0 0% 0 0% 0 0%
Average cost 34688 32984 33325
Total profit 6563 14063 20625
Average profit 6563 3516 4125
Average profit % 18.9% 10.7% 12.4%
Average holding period 56.0 days 24.0 days 30.4 days

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

Portfolio Total

This week As of last week Total
Number of trades 2 229 231
Winners 2 100.0% 159 69.4% 161 69.7%
Losers 0 0.0% 68 29.7% 68 29.4%
Unch 0 0.0% 2 0.9% 2 0.9%
Average cost 34844 40846 40794
Total profit 11563 328969 340532
Average profit $ 5781 1437 1474
Average profit % 16.6% 3.5% 3.6%
Average holding period 31.5 days 20.7 days 20.8 days



To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (5043)8/13/2000 12:45:23 PM
From: Larry S.  Respond to of 11568
 
Z positions and other thoughts: -
LMGa - Liberty Media, planning on holding this for quite some time, came down to low 20's rebounded to 22. This company is involved in so many deals and has so much going for it that i consider it a core holding in a medium or long term hold portfolio. It has extensive holdings in TWX (AOL) and T, so is surrogate for both, had CD, and NWS positions, plus content up the kazoo. Most important, it has John Malone. JM makes money for his investors.
TERN - Terayon Communications - is one of the "hot stocks" has traded between 50 and 60 for the past few weeks, my target is mid 70's and then would put a short lease on it. TERN is mainly a cable modem mfg, and is a G.Gilder fav.
SV - Stillwell Financial, (Janus Funds) - got rocked this week by news of Jim Craig (the founder) planned departure from Janus. Actually, this is not a big operational factor, as there is a management team in place of the current fund managers. Also, WSJ had an article about the under-performance of Janus funds this year, which is not surprising given their concentration on high growth stocks. SV at 41 is likely to trade down to 36-38, think it will rebound with a vengeance to low 50s on way to 60-70. Think there is a possibility of a takeover of SV by Janus or some third party supported by Janus people. I may bail on this one if something doesn't develope fairly soon.

Others stocks i am watching - OXHP- Oxford Health, set new recovery high over 30, holding for a lot higher. MET- Metlife and ALL - Allstate - insurance sector is hot.
Friday did major re-alignment of LT IRA, sold 60% of CSCO (at 112 from 43), and bailed on losers: all of CWP (Cable and Wireless), VZ (verizon), PFNC - small bank, -hasn't gone anywhere, and LU - bot LMGa and STT (State St Bank) - thinking of adding OXHP and maybe MET. sold my losers and invested in stocks that are selling near highs and have beautiful trend lines and are in strong sectors. pretty radical eh.
SVRN and KEY are two banks that are getting interesting.
Larry



To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (5043)8/13/2000 2:21:44 PM
From: Kelvin Taylor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11568
 
Z holdings:

made my commentary last month:http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=14091782

Here is an update:

CELL: got clobbered by not beating the est. revised EPS of $0.16 and yearly earnings of $0.70. assuming these revisions are correct the stock is STILL trading @ a PE of 6.3. do I hear cheap stock?

bot more in my personal holding @ $5 1/8. think this stock has much more upside than down. let's see what the next earnings report shows.

AGIL: reports on the 17th. stock has already corrected quite a bit. 3 qrts of beating the street. could be another upside surprise.

ANAD: est.for the 3rd qrt(Sept. 00) is $0.21 vs only $0.10 last qrt year ago. PE 31. looks like a great value here.

PUMA: reports on the 24th. will evaluate the stock at that point.

SBAS: software. not liked very much now. expecting a double digit price by year end.



To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (5043)8/14/2000 5:09:11 PM
From: Paul Moerman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 11568
 
My Z holdings:

I'm sponsoring some NEON, as well as QCOM, QLGC, SNDK and VSH. Since purchasing for the Z, the fundamentals have either stayed the same or improved on all of these, IMO (VSH in particular has just announced an acquisition and concurrent share buyback). Valuations are admittedly pricey, but relative to the NASDAQ seem ok if not downright "cheap"! <g>

I continue to own all of these issues personally, although imprudently averaged down on NEON to the extent that it is over 25% of my portfolio. And yes, I'm into margin (but am using only 1/3 of my purchasing power at present).

The months of August and September scare me, and Brinker and Brogan think we will soon have a retest of the May lows. I feel that we are balancing on a razor's edge, so don't want to move too quickly one way or the other. <g>

Today I moved all of my 401(k) plan investments to cash, as a defensive move probably through the first half of October unless we get an obvious buying opportunity sooner.

I'm watching my Z sponsored positions closely for signs of impending breakdown, but stochastics and MACD are favorable for all of them as I read the tea leaves, so I will stay the course for now.

Best to all,

Paul