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To: RR who wrote (28654)	8/12/2000 5:25:58 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 35685

RangerRick, voices are now widely speaking of next Fed move being a rate ease some pundits, but more importantly the bond pits and futures players this is where the real smart folks work I personally expect the next move to be an easing but it might occur in November no more rate hikes until then the last few ill-advised hikes this spring havent filtered thru yet I dont subscribe to the notion that we launch uninterrupted, undeterred, beginning after LaborDay and continuing thru December I believe we have some serious rallying in early Sept but this autumn in October I expect some really shaky days my best guess now: rally too hard in September, take some back in October it will NOT be widely recognized that the Fed is done hiking until this autumn, when they refused several times to hike, and continued moderate economic data streams in the Fed has always overdone it... this time they have the benefit of a torrid technological expansion underway which will buffet their "mistakes" this spring... but only when the economy slows to 3% GDP this autumn will any rate easing be seriously considered by those old crusty farts at the Federal Reserve I see you now like Extreme Network my best friend kept talking them up about one year ago he was right, and I think you are right now also later, Jim