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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Madarasz who wrote (111827)8/15/2000 12:25:32 AM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 120523
 
Trader's Edge: VerticalNet

09-Aug-00 08:00 ET

Editor's Note: This commentary was posted live on Briefing.com's
subscription site on August 9. If you want access to commentaries such
as this as soon as they are posted, you need Briefing.com's
subscription service -- take a Free Trial today!

Briefing.com highlighted VerticalNet (VERT) in a Trader's Edge column
less than a month ago (July 12). On July 18 we decided to take profits in
the stock following a 54% surge in price over the course of four trading
sessions, believing that near-term upside was extremely limited based
on an overextended condition in the stock. However, after a 35% vertical
retracement back to the $40 area, VERT shares again appear poised for
another rally attempt.

Trading Points

First the reasons for our cautionary comments on July 18....
The surge in price put VerticalNet in the position of having to
test key resistance with no intermediate-term support levels
which to regroup should the move have failed. The stock was
also running low on catalysts. Extremely upbeat preview of the
company's Q2 earnings release contributed significantly to the
stock's surge in price and, in our opinion, left the issue exposed
to a sell-the-news reaction to the actual report.

Over the nine trading sessions since VerticalNet released its
numbers, the stock has fallen 21%, although top- and
bottom-line results were above expectations.... Q2 revenues
came in at $53.6 mln, a 95% improvement over the year-ago
period. Net loss for the quarter was $0.23 a share, 7 cents
narrower than Wall Street views.

While numbers were strong across all lines, growth at
company's NECX.com unit was not quite as robust as many
investors would have liked. The possibility of thinning margins
is forcing Wall Street to temper expectations for the remainder
of the year.

Long term, the story of VerticalNet evolving into a major force
in the B2B exchange community is still intact. Also, company
continues to make progress in its transition from an
advertising-driven model. In Q2, VERT was able to further
reduce its reliance on advertising revenues to 38% of the
top-line mix from the Q1 level of almost 47%.

Just as the stock's 54% vertical advance following the July 12
write-up made us wary of its prospects for further
appreciation, the magnitude and speed of the retracement
raises questions of wether the stock is now oversold.
VerticalNet (VERT 44 7/8) shares have bounced 12% since
successfully testing support in the $40 area... Given that the
VERT has a history of being a late participant in tech moves
and B2B sector rallies, we would allow the market to dictate
our trading of the stock.... Key near-term resistance level is
$45 11/16. A retreat through the $39-40 level would produce
a sell signal.