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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: da_cheif™ who wrote (11233)	8/15/2000 4:37:43 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Respond to of 436258

hey, i have an open mind...there are even some astrologers that make good market calls at times. i mentioned these things because they ARE relevant to the stock market. just look at the Japanese market - the relevance is that once a credit induced crack-up boom ends, the high levels of bad debt left in its wake make interest rate cuts ineffectual. the bullish argument holds water only as long as that is not the case - but the bigger the debt mountain gets, and it must get ever bigger to support the stock market, the more likely it becomes that rate cuts won't help the market when the next crisis comes. btw, i'm certainly not ruling out that the bubble can inflate even more - to say that would be like telling the market what to do, and that's not a reasonable approach. i'm only saying that the risk/reward profile of the market is not favorable at current prices considering all available data points. this is only from a medium to long term perspective...and like i said, i do find value in many sub sectors, and have had quite remarkable results with a very conservative strategy. certainly outperformed the NAZ this year by a mile... i agree with you that today's mainstream economists are a bunch one best fades at every available opportunity - even their economic forecasts are an ongoing disaster.

To: da_cheif™ who wrote (11233)	8/15/2000 4:57:07 PM
From: Lucretius	Read Replies (5) \| Respond to of 436258

ok, buddy... time to bring in the guys w/ the white coats... i don't know who you are, but i doubt you are woodchuck.... in any case, no clowns allowed around here... you just got your butt banned... stoutman.com see thread header for recourse....

To: da_cheif™ who wrote (11233)	8/15/2000 5:10:22 PM
From: UnBelievable	Respond to of 436258

I Read On One of the Other Threads That You Still Sell Shoes Your smarter than I thought. At least you didn't give up you day job.