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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (71079)8/17/2000 9:40:04 AM
From: BigBull  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
JQP The cat is out of the bag.

cbs.marketwatch.com

There are now only two bear arguments for oil prices and oil patch stocks.

1. Oil prices rise to the extent that the feds hand is forced to induce recession.
2. Coordinated world wide SPR releases.

The OPEC is cheating/overproducing is now moot. Clearly, the capacity restraints spoken of in this thread months ago are finally being recognized in the marketplace - the cat is out of the bag. Jawboning and spin doctoring simply will no longer work. The markets no longer believe the boy who cries wolf. Period.

The second bear argument maybe be effective only in the short term, and is self defeating as it ultimately removes itself as a creditable threat over time.

The first argument is the most effective on a more permanent basis. This is why - for the sake of oil patch stocks - I hope crude and NG prices do not go much higher.