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To: Dealer who wrote (29276)8/17/2000 1:15:44 PM
From: Dealer  Respond to of 35685
 
QCOM--They Might Be Giants, but Microsoft, Qualcomm Shrink in Funds
By Ian McDonald
Senior Writer
8/17/00 12:00 PM ET

Everybody knows growth-fund managers have loved large-cap tech and telecom stocks in recent years, but which are their favorites these days?

Ask 10 managers and you'll probably get 10 different answers. But you don't have to ask because fund managers tend to put your money where their mouths are. Using the most recent portfolio data from Morningstar, we've looked at the percentage of large-cap growth funds that own each of the techy Nasdaq 100 Index's top-10 holdings as of July 31, compared with holdings from the start of the year.

The verdict: They still like biggies such as Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq - news), Intel (INTC:Nasdaq - news) and Sun Microsystems (SUNW:Nasdaq - news), with a building appetite for JDS Uniphase (JDSU:Nasdaq - news) and Veritas Software (VRTS:Nasdaq - news). On the flip side, some funds dumped their stake in Microsoft (MSFT:Nasdaq - news) and Qualcomm (QCOM:Nasdaq - news), the only two stocks on the list that are sharply lower on the year. For fund investors, this is a good way to see where your money might be going. For stock investors, it's a glimpse at where the pros are placing their bets.

Big Moves
Here are the top 10 holdings of the Nasdaq 100, ranked by the percentage of large-cap growth funds that own them. On the rise are JDS Uniphase and Oracle, while some managers have sold Microsoft and Qualcomm stakes.

While the portfolio information fund companies share is often a bit dated, some significant moves are discernable. Maybe the most intriguing nugget is how many funds have added fiber optic networker JDS Uniphase, as well as software shops Veritas and Siebel Systems (SEBL:Nasdaq - news) -- all up for the year -- to their portfolios recently. The percentage of growth funds holding shares in these companies has more than doubled in the first seven months of this year, according to Morningstar.

Oracle has also found a wider fan base on Wall Street lately, too. The latest portfolio data at the start of the year showed 31% of large-cap growth funds holding the software shop's shares, but now that number is up to 61%.

And it looks like some of the money growth-fund managers are plowing into these climbers might be coming from sales of Microsoft and Qualcomm shares.

Uncertainty over the outcome of Microsoft's scrum with the Justice Department has sent the stock down more than 39% for the year as of Wednesday's close. Since the start of the year, the percentage of large-cap growth funds holding Mister Softee's shares is a still-high 80%, but down from 88%. Recent regulatory filings from leading growth shops Janus and Fidelity indicate that many of their managers were selling Microsoft shares in the second quarter.

The struggling giant might actually be lower on these managers' lists than those figures imply. Because the stock was formerly a large, core holding for so many growth funds, managers may not be able to liquidate their whole positions quickly. One observer wonders if more haven't sold simply because the stock is still a big part of the S&P 500, a benchmark for many funds, and not holding some shares translates to a huge bet against the highly regarded company and its college-dropout leader.

"I was surprised more funds haven't given up on Microsoft yet. I guess they feel like it's too big a bet to not own it," says Morningstar senior analyst Scott Cooley.

As for wireless communications dynamo Qualcomm, growth managers piled into the stock last year, when it posted a gaudy 2,619% return. At the start of last year, 34 growth funds owned the stock and by the end some 290 had a stake in the highflier, according to Morningstar.

But concerns about the stock's high valuation and the near-term sustainability of the company's outsize earnings growth have sent the stock down more than 65% so far this year. And many of the growth-fund managers who fell in love in 1999 have called the whole thing off.

"Looks like Qualcomm is yesterday's hero and today's bad penny," says Cooley.

For a bit more perspective, look over tech-fund managers' whims. After all, they're tech specialists who typically have no where else to put their money, unlike large-cap growth-fund managers who can typically invest in any industry sector. By and large their moves have been similar, if a bit more pronounced.

Like large-cap growth-fund managers, tech managers are putting a lot of faith in Cisco and Intel. That said, the percentage of funds owning both is sliding. Speaking of sliding, it looks like many tech managers see a Microsoft stake as dead money these days. The percentage of tech funds holding the software behemoth's shares has fallen from 75% to 55%.

Tech-fund managers have been a bit quicker to flee Qualcomm, too: About 40% of the tech funds that held shares at the start of the year are now out of the stock.

On the upside, they have ramped up their exposure to JDS Uniphase, Sun, Oracle and Veritas.

It will be interesting to see where these comparisons stand at the end of the year. Whether you're investing in stocks or stock funds, you're probably better off knowing where the pros are headed, and it helps to not have to call them all.



To: Dealer who wrote (29276)8/17/2000 2:28:04 PM
From: adairm  Respond to of 35685
 
Thanks, Dealer. I've been lurking since Volts was a regular on the Dell thread.

I was a bit early on the RMBS trail. I bought back in January '99. Still have it.

May of '99 sold LEAP Puts and bought LEAP Calls in RMBS. (A no money down deal!) Back in Feb, 2000 when the Puts went to nearly worthless, I bought the puts back. That left me RMBS calls with virtually no cost basis. After the split, and after the Hitachi deal, I excercized my Calls. I know I didn't have to, but I was in an ornary sort of way, and I wanted to make some market maker mad!

Really, I wanted to increase the 'equity' in my account. E*Trade doesn't count the value of a deep in the money call as equity. So, since they were so DIM, there was virtually no time premium left, so I excercized. (Don't you know that some poor sucker was mad when they got assigned!!!)

Well, gotta go roll some NTAP puts I sold. (the 100's) I got a little too greedy and sold too close to the money.

By the way, I like my lemonade made one half iced tea, one half lemonade.

Cheers,
Adairm



To: Dealer who wrote (29276)8/17/2000 2:37:47 PM
From: Dealer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 35685
 
CSCO--Cisco's court rival files for bankruptcy
By Wylie Wong
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
August 17, 2000, 10:40 a.m. PT
A Louisiana phone company, which recently sued Cisco Systems for allegedly selling faulty equipment, has filed for bankruptcy protection.

American Metrocomm (AMC), a Louisiana phone company that offers high-speed Internet and phone connections to small businesses, will continue to operate while it financially reorganizes. Under its Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, AMC is protected from its creditors during the restructuring.

The bankruptcy is the latest twist for AMC, which is mired in a court battle with Cisco.

In late April, the networking giant filed a lawsuit demanding payment for loans it gave to AMC so it could buy Cisco equipment. AMC responded in May with a countersuit, arguing that it was forced to refund about $1.4 million to its customers because allegedly defective Cisco equipment failed to provide promised services.

AMC's suit also accuses Cisco employees of alleged conflicts of interest. AMC is seeking $62 million in damages and costs associated with the Cisco equipment. Cisco has vehemently denied the charges levied by AMC, pointing to its track record with other customers.

AMC executives could not be reached for comment today, but the company said in a statement that it will continue to pursue its suit against Cisco while it financially reorganizes. AMC said in a statement that it has more than 1,000 customers in Louisiana and Mississippi and will continue with plans to expand its service to seven other states in the southeastern United States.