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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (11941)8/18/2000 2:23:27 AM
From: Dave-in-MarinCa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
I hate lookin up this number each week...but the 3 mon Tbill/10 yr Tbond spread tonight is -57 bps with a corresponding 42% probability of a recession 12 months from now per the feds own study. And the air drops just keep coming. Amazing. Continuing the self destructive theme, I dropped a 25 Megaton over SF....ggg... Results are pretty dramatic...no more cable cars. I don't think the Golden Gate Bridge would make it either. I wonder how the SF Fed Reserve Bank would make out?



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (11941)8/18/2000 8:27:03 AM
From: flatsville  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
heinz--

>>>an inverted govt. yield curve coupled with a normal shaped corporate yield curve is the best recession predictor there is.<<

Got a url on the corporate yield curve?

TIA