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To: Alan Norton who wrote (15958)8/19/2000 5:05:39 AM
From: KyrosL  Respond to of 29987
 
Alan, I like your numbers much better <g>

And since the G* constellation can be easily expanded incrementally, if system use starts increasing exponentially, both MOU and P/E numbers will be substantially higher. We may even hit Maurice's pie in the sky numbers.



To: Alan Norton who wrote (15958)8/19/2000 9:33:07 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29987
 
Alan, you stopped at 80% of capacity, but the 10 billion minutes isn't the theoretical capacity if every satellite was flat out all the time. It's the capacity expected given some [unknown to me] expectation of downtime [over oceans], distribution of subscribers and how they'll use the system. The 10 billion is how many minutes the company thinks will be available to sell to people who will be in a position to buy, in range of a gateway and so on.

That figure of 10 billion was established some years ago, so with improved electronics in the gateways and better software, maybe QUALCOMM has developed the system further so that pretty soon we will be able to squeeze 15 billion minutes out of Constellation1 per year.

Constellation2 is sure to be far more efficient than Constellation1 so if people are worried about market demand now, they won't have to worry about Constellation2, which will be able to cut the minute price dramatically so that people can yak without worrying about spending a fortune.

The operating cost per year is lower than $1 billion. Currently they are spending only $500 million a year [maybe as low as $400 million].

Mqurice