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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (30149)8/19/2000 3:57:18 PM
From: Seeker of Truth  Respond to of 54805
 
Thanks to Justin C and Thomas Mercer-Hursh for instruction in how to generate straight tables. You prefix the table with a < and then add the three letters pre and finally a >. The table is followed by the same except for a / in front of the three letters. Also thanks to Tom Chwojko-Frank and others for feedback. As the latter Tom says, much depends on one's risk tolerance AND one's knowledge about the individual companies. When one considers the apparently extraneous need to sleep nights, in addition to the main task of making money, an old conclusion is suggested by Tom's words, i.e. when confronted by multiple gorillas in various domains, choose the companies you are most comfortable with. For example I often have to work on storage problems so NTAP and EMC are naturals for me to own and sleep nights also. I'm not a bit afraid of NTAP's high price; I see enormous growth ahead. On the other hand I've never owned either a TV set or a cell phone so I'm forever a little vague about the merits of GMST and QCOM. In a market down turn I'd feel less comfortable by far with the latter two than with the former two. Lots of us have the opposite feeling. So I own more of the former two, others will own more of the latter two.
I'm happy with the above solution to the relative evaluation problem, i.e at the end just forget the number comparisons and trust one's general impression after looking at all the numbers and other facts that one can. On the other hand I consider it possible that some day, since we don't keep the gorilla game a secret and the results ARE great, then if everybody else piles into the game, the gorillas as a group may all become bad buys. There might be a day when selling would pay off in a big way. A big enough cash reserve would enable one to forget about the problem, eh?



To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (30149)8/21/2000 1:00:20 AM
From: Mike Buckley  Respond to of 54805
 
Malcolm and Thomas,

I haven't taken the time to read all of your posts but I did catch one snippet the two of you are discussing.

Gorillas may become average companies at a slower speed than ordinary above average companies.

According to the manual, the gorilla's competitive advantage period tends to last a lot longer than most companies' advantage. However, when that period ends the company approaches becoming "average" in a way that is depicted as hitting a brick wall. It's far from a gradual transition. Very, very ugly. :)

--Mike Buckley