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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (4167)8/22/2000 6:14:42 AM
From: macavity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
Matthew, I replied to you as yours was the last post I read before I wrote things down.

To put my bear cap on (again).
I would agree we are possibly at a top (but not due to VIX)

NDX is at resistance formed from the Mar00 and Jul00 highs.
5Day RSI is overbought.
MACD has turned up but is effectively neutral.
Long-term Stochastics are approaching overbought levels as well.

stockcharts.com[W,A]DACLYYMY[PC10!C21!C42!H.02,.20!C200][VC60][IUC20!LE12,26,9!LB5!LH63,10!LL14]

I think we come off on FOMC, but I do not know how far. NDX still looks like one big triangle with support around 3500. Possibly more of this sideways market.

- macavity



To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (4167)8/23/2000 12:22:37 PM
From: bobby beara  Respond to of 19219
 
Matt, just heard a good explanation of vix from larry mcmillan.

if the vix is low, it means that option traders are not expecting volatility, what that means on a contrary basis is likely to be volatility, but that could be a big move up or down. He used the move off the 1994 low as an example of low vix preceding a big upmove.