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To: Math Junkie who wrote (8532)8/24/2000 1:46:38 PM
From: Gottfried  Respond to of 10921
 
Richard, thanks for the table. >seems to have the effect of smoothing out the month-to-month variations somewhat.<

Probably because revisions require MORE data.

> Wall Street is not known for deep analysis. (G)<

At least not in the information they share with us.

Gottfried



To: Math Junkie who wrote (8532)8/27/2000 9:51:00 AM
From: Q.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10921
 
Because of the three-month averaging used by SEMI, comparing two consecutive months by calculating a % change doesn't give you exactly what you might expect.

What you are really getting is
[(M4+M3+M2)-(M3+M2+M1)]/3
=(M4-M1)/3

whereas you might think that you are calculating (M4-M3).

Just the same, your table is still perfectly useful.


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