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Strategies & Market Trends : Fidelity Select Sector funds -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rkf who wrote (2850)8/26/2000 12:39:01 PM
From: Julius Wong  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4916
 
Kent:

Election year stock market data showed a fall rally. I'll go along with that.

Julius



To: rkf who wrote (2850)8/29/2000 12:50:11 PM
From: selectinvestor  Respond to of 4916
 
From this week's Commentary

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
The Select Investor Weekly Commentary August 25, 2000
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

The Good News

Momentum is returning to the technology sectors,
leading to a very broad based rally.

Last year we had the Stealth Bear Market - the
major indices were very strong, but most stocks
were very weak. Since March the Bear has not been
so stealthy. Even now, most major indices are
hovering near zero return for the year.

Fortunately, whether the Bear is stealthy or not, a
sector strategy can find the profits at the edge of
all but the deepest of bear markets.

The broad based rally of the last few weeks may
signal that the Bear may be heading for an early
hibernation. We do not expect the markets to head
straight up without pause, but it is possible that
the end of year rally will be dated from
mid-August, with only a few short, sharp
corrections between now and the end of the year.

The Bad News

The only dark clouds on the horizon at this time
are due to high energy prices. US inventories of
crude oil, heating oil, and natural gas are at
historical lows, while global demand continues to
increase. If inventory shortages cause very high
energy prices this fall and winter, they may turn
Alan Greenspan's soft landing into a rough ride.

Fortunately for us, even if high energy prices
prevent a broad based rally this fall, there will
still be several strong sectors ( namely the energy
sectors ) for us to choose from.

Russell Cox
selectinvestor.com